Fed rate cut by...?
3 signals across 2 markets · $8,024 tracked · resolves Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 91% win-rate macro trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 91% resolved win rate is buying No on a plausible macro market, though the stake is modest.
$1,661Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.0 - 91% macro sharp buys NO
Proven 91% win-rate wallet with over $2.1M profit is buying No on a thin Fed market, with the trade equal to 64% of 24h volume.
$2,201Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.0 - Repeat new-wallet macro whale
A 12-day-old wallet has repeatedly made large bets totaling over $20k and just bought $4.2k of No at 41¢, a meaningful size for this market despite no resolved track record yet.
$4,163Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc6d0ff…4bad$4,163 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$3,861 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins