Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
9 signals across 3 markets · $17,066 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether police, security, military, or peacekeeping personnel from outside Israel and Palestinian entities will officially operate on the ground in Gaza by the market’s stated deadline. PolySpotter currently shows one smart money signal, with a 92% winner adding to the No outcome and $1,971 in tracked smart money.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 82% winner flips toward Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate is selling No, equivalent to taking Yes exposure at 35¢, though the trade may partly reflect profit-taking from an older No position.
$1,375Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.7 - 92% winner adds to No
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader added nearly $2,000 to an existing No position in a thin market despite the price moving against it.
$1,971Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial bettor buys No
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $495,000 profit is taking a fresh position on No at even odds.
$1,204Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial bettor buys No
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $495,000 profit is taking a fresh position on No at even odds.
$1,250Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial bettor buys No
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $495,000 profit is taking a fresh position on No at even odds.
$1,977Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - 92% winner adds to No
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader added nearly $2,000 to an existing No position in a thin market despite the price moving against it.
$2,672Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial trader adds to No
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader is adding $3,034 to an existing No position in a thin market, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average winning entry price.
$3,034Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - Serial trader adds to No
A serial cross-market trader with 383 resolved bets is adding to an existing No position amid a sharp Yes price surge, though the wallet’s historical win rate does not clearly beat its average entry odds.
$1,993Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - Serial trader adds to No
A serial cross-market trader with 383 resolved bets is adding to an existing No position amid a sharp Yes price surge, though the wallet’s historical win rate does not clearly beat its average entry odds.
$1,589Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb4f259…e5fa$6,617 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x85a858…9281$4,643 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$4,431 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xfb6465…5e23$1,375 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the odds of foreign intervention in Gaza on Polymarket?
The event’s odds are represented by the prices of its Yes and No child markets. These prices change as traders update their expectations about whether qualifying foreign personnel will enter Gaza and begin an officially acknowledged operation.
What does this Gaza intervention prediction market resolve on?
It resolves Yes if police officers, security forces, military personnel, or peacekeeping forces belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity physically enter Gaza and begin an officially acknowledged operation. Maritime activity alone does not qualify.
What is smart money doing in the Gaza intervention market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,971 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert says a 92% winner added to the No outcome.
When will the foreign intervention in Gaza market resolve?
The market resolves according to the deadline and resolution rules listed in its child market terms. Check the live Polymarket contract for the current deadline and any applicable rule updates.