Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
133 signals across 1 market · $812,716 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks whether Iran will publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, 2026, including a unilateral pledge or an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Polymarket traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome, while PolySpotter has tracked $255,901 in smart money activity across 24 signals, including a strong YES cluster and repeated whale buying on No.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 11-wallet No cluster
High-conviction coordinated No flow: 11 wallets put $86.4k on No, including linked funding, profitable high-volume traders, and a sharp 14.5-point move in minutes.
$86,400Score: 24.7 - Linked cluster with sharp 83% bettor
High-scoring linked six-wallet Yes cluster includes a highly profitable 83% bettor adding at 8¢, though earlier entries are already underwater after a sharp move against them.
$19,591Score: 16.3 - Profitable serial trader buying Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 44¢ alongside linked-wallet support, with the market already showing strong upward momentum.
$1,425Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 13.3 - Profitable serial trader buying Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 44¢ alongside linked-wallet support, with the market already showing strong upward momentum.
$4,687Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 12.5 - Sharp wallet in YES cluster
Four wallets made a coordinated contrarian Yes bet, including one wallet with an 85% track record, though the market is very liquid and the move is currently against them.
$14,072Score: 11.4 - Profitable serial trader buying Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 44¢ alongside linked-wallet support, with the market already showing strong upward momentum.
$13,573Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 10.6 - Elite serial macro bettor
Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit buying No on a major geopolitics market.
$2,788Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.4 - Repeat new whale No cluster
Four wallets put $24k on No, led by a repeat new-wallet large bettor, but track records are mixed and the market is liquid.
$18,156Score: 9.9 - 96% serial cross-market bettor
A highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes into strong market momentum.
$2,403Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.1 - Profitable cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the Yes side on a high-volume Iran enrichment market during a major volume spike, though the position is modest and currently moved against them.
$1,085Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8c66e2…44f3$95,582 · 1 market · 18 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x1d9122…b111$91,457 · 1 market · 3 alerts
- 0x44c1df…ebc1$55,737 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x136a5f…88ee$50,182 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$43,562 · 1 market · 16 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xe07bed…8e72$40,698 · 1 market · 4 alerts
- 0xcc80dc…f2b8$33,596 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0x0d00e7…6623$29,127 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$26,607 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$24,851 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Iran ending uranium enrichment by June 30?
The market price reflects traders’ current estimate that Iran publicly agrees to end all uranium enrichment by the June 30, 2026 deadline. Check the live event page for the latest Yes/No odds and recent price movement.
What counts as a Yes resolution in this Iran uranium enrichment market?
Yes resolves if Iran publicly agrees to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The pledge can be unilateral or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel, and it does not need to take effect before the deadline.
What is smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $255,901 in smart money activity across 24 signals. Recent alerts show mixed positioning: an 86% winner leading a YES cluster, while new whales and repeat wallets have also been backing No.
Are whales betting Yes or No on Iran ending enrichment?
Recent smart money alerts include a YES cluster led by a high-performing trader, but also multiple bearish signals such as new whale buys on No and repeat new whale backing No. That suggests sharp traders are actively split or repositioning around the outcome.
When does this Iran uranium enrichment prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying public agreement or pledge happens by June 30, 2026. If no qualifying pledge is made before the deadline, the market resolves No.