Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
10 signals across 4 markets · $29,308 tracked · resolves Aug 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Iran and Oman announce a diplomatic agreement to manage traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by the specified deadline. The event currently has one Yes/No child market, with PolySpotter alerts showing a bettor scaling into a sharp No breakout.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven cross-market bettor buys No
A highly experienced bettor with 348 resolved trades and a strong edge is taking a fresh No position in this diplomatic-outcome market.
$1,698Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.7 - 92% winner adds to No position
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate is adding $3,500 to an existing No position across a four-market event thesis.
$4,030Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate is buying No, aligned with the market's sharp recent decline.
$2,038Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.3 - Serial 92% bettor adds to No
A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% historical win rate is adding $3,547 to an existing No position, though the edge over average entry odds is modest.
$3,547Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.3 - 92% winner adds to No position
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate is adding $3,500 to an existing No position across a four-market event thesis.
$3,500Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.3 - 92% winner adds to No
A highly successful serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate added roughly $5,149 to No across three related markets, despite already holding the outcome.
$5,149Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.3 - 92% winner adds to No position
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate is adding $3,500 to an existing No position across a four-market event thesis.
$5,422Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.3 - Serial 76% winner backs No
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate placed a fresh $1,116 No bet amid a sharp market move toward No.
$1,435Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 3.0 - Serial 76% winner backs No
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate placed a fresh $1,116 No bet amid a sharp market move toward No.
$1,116Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 3.0 - Bettor scaling into a sharp No breakout
A repeat bettor added substantially to an existing No position as No broke sharply above its prior price range in a relatively thin market.
$1,374Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x85a858…9281$21,648 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$4,248 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 76% wins
- 0x524db8…4495$2,038 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x9e7296…99c4$1,374 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement odds?
The event’s live Yes/No odds are displayed on the PolySpotter market page and update as traders buy and sell shares about whether an agreement will be announced by the deadline.
What does this Iran-Oman prediction market resolve on?
It resolves Yes if Iran and Oman announce a qualifying official agreement, treaty, deal, or similar diplomatic instrument establishing commitments related to managing traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date.
What is smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter is tracking one smart-money signal so far: a bettor scaling into a sharp No breakout, indicating notable trading activity against the agreement outcome.
When does the Iran-Oman Hormuz market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, based on the exchange’s listed resolution time.