Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
4 signals across 1 market · $12,732 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Lee Jae-myung, leader of South Korea’s Democratic Party, will be arrested or detained by law enforcement before 2027. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcomes, while PolySpotter has flagged a notable 364x volume surge and $5,575 in tracked smart money activity around the market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 94% winner buys dip
Sharp wallet override: a 94% winner with positive lifetime P&L is re-entering No after the market moved sharply toward Yes.
$1,350Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.2 - 86% serial cross-market winner
Surfaced because a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 86% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite a sharp market move toward Yes.
$4,680Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.0 - 364x volume surge
A sudden 364x volume spike with a 30-point move in a plausible political/legal market makes this Yes flow worth watching despite no wallet track record.
$5,575Score: 3.1 - 94% winner buying contrarian NO
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 94% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No against a major Yes price surge.
$1,128Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x44bb9b…c186$5,575 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xaf3909…3101$4,680 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x967d65…0c38$2,478 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Lee Jae-myung is arrested before 2027?
The live odds are reflected in the Polymarket Yes and No prices for this event. PolySpotter tracks those market prices alongside smart money activity so you can see how traders are positioning.
What is the smart money doing on this Lee Jae-myung market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,575 in smart money activity across the event and flagged one recent signal: a 364x volume surge. That suggests trading interest increased sharply, though it does not guarantee the final outcome.
What counts as an arrest or detention for this market?
The market resolves to Yes if Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the deadline, including being taken into physical custody or voluntarily surrendering in response to an arrest warrant.
When does the Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027 market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying arrest or detention occurs by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying event happens by then, it resolves to No.
Is this a Polymarket prediction market on South Korean politics?
Yes. This event is a Polymarket prediction market focused on South Korean politics and the legal status of Lee Jae-myung before 2027.