Part of: Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,048.

Categories: Claude Mythos, Claude, AI, Anthropic IPO, Tech, Anthropic, AI Regulation, AI Releases

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet funded Yes cluster

Seven wallets sharing a funder are coordinating a fresh Yes position in a moderately liquid AI-release market, with price up 8% in a day.

  • Seven linked wallets share a funder, signaling coordinated conviction on Yes.
  • The $2,048 buy at 64¢ helped accompany an 8% one-day price rise in a market with only $7,402 liquidity.
  • The wallet has a 66% win rate across 200 resolved bets, though its historical edge is not especially strong at an average 88¢ winning entry.

$2,048 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf81a...eba3 Outcome 92444839, $19,960
  2. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 92444839, $11,191 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xb17d...59ae Outcome 92444839, $9,539 (82% win rate)
  4. 0x5846...1057 Outcome 92444839, $2,931
  5. 0x5603...7a24 Outcome 92444839, $2,147
  6. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 92444839, $1,664
  7. 0x616a...96c9 Outcome 92444839, $1,150
  8. 0x9d1d...2717 Outcome 92444839, $1,100 (85% win rate)
  9. 0xa676...1c22 Outcome 92444839, $1,000 (44% win rate)
  10. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 92444839, $695 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

Ceasefire lasts into October, not December

Covers 14 related markets

Iran blockade ends by August 15

Covers 7 related markets

Iran ceasefire breaks, resumes, then ends

Covers 3 related markets

Ceasefire by July, briefly lapses, returns

Covers 4 related markets

Ceasefire comes, collapses, returns

Covers 4 related markets

Fed will hike rates 25 bps

Covers 2 related markets

WTI reaches $90, not $95

Covers 2 related markets

Iran deal by June

Covers 4 related markets

Iran airspace will remain open

Covers 3 related markets

Farage wins 60–70% in Clacton

Covers 2 related markets

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?

ResolvedNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?$2,048 tracked1 signalClaude MythosClaudeAIAnthropic IPOTechAnthropicAI RegulationAI Releases

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes
72¢
54¢
35¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?

22d ago

$2,048 on Yes at 64¢

Related Theses

Ceasefire lasts into October, not December
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 14 related markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…
Iran blockade ends by August 15
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 7 related markets
US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…
Iran ceasefire breaks, resumes, then ends
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 3 related markets
US ceasefire against Iran cont…US ceasefire against Iran cont…US ceasefire against Iran cont…
Ceasefire by July, briefly lapses, returns
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 4 related markets
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …
Ceasefire comes, collapses, returns
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 4 related markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agr…Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agr…Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agr…
Fed will hike rates 25 bps
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 2 related markets
Will there be no change in Fed…Will the Fed increase interest…
WTI reaches $90, not $95
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 2 related markets
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
Iran deal by June
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 4 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Iran airspace will remain open
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 3 related markets
Iran full airspace closure by …Iran full airspace closure by …Iran full airspace closure by …
Farage wins 60–70% in Clacton
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 2 related markets
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% o…Will Nigel Farage win at least…