Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $3,015 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks whether Russia and Ukraine will reach a mutually agreed ceasefire by December 31, 2026. Traders are pricing the likelihood of a formal or credibly reported suspension of direct military engagement, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money signals such as activity from profitable cross-market traders.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6d9fc3…9790$3,015 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
FAQs
What are the odds of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by the end of 2026?
The market-implied odds come from Polymarket trading on whether Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity to show how informed traders are positioning.
What counts as a ceasefire agreement in this market?
The event resolves Yes if Russia and Ukraine mutually agree to suspend direct military engagement by the deadline, either through official announcements from both sides or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the agreement.
Is smart money betting on the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market?
PolySpotter has tracked smart money activity in this event, including a signal from a profitable serial cross-market trader. These signals can help show whether experienced traders are building exposure to Yes or No outcomes.
When does this Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market resolve?
The market is set to resolve based on whether a qualifying ceasefire agreement occurs by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. If no qualifying agreement is reached by then, it resolves No.
Where can I track the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire prediction market?
You can track the event on PolySpotter, which summarizes Polymarket odds, market movement, and smart money signals for the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026.