Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
2 signals across 1 market · $7,451 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
The Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay is a Polymarket event on whether three conditions happen by the end of 2026: a ceasefire, Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO, and Ukraine signing a peace deal with Russia. PolySpotter tracks the market’s odds and smart-money activity across the event, including a recent signal showing a 93% winner buying No.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner buying No
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because this is a proven profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate buying No on a geopolitical parlay.
$1,388Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 1.0 - 96% winner buying No
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a 96% resolved-market win rate and is making a $6k No bet worth nearly 2x the market’s 24h volume.
$6,063Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9bdb40…73d7$6,063 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xe5c215…2ab0$1,388 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay odds on Polymarket?
This event tracks whether all listed peace-related conditions are met by December 31, 2026. The live Polymarket odds reflect traders’ current view on whether the full parlay resolves Yes or No.
What has to happen for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay to resolve Yes?
For Yes to win, Russia and Ukraine must reach a ceasefire, Ukraine must agree not to join NATO, and Ukraine must sign a peace deal with Russia before the deadline. If any condition is not met in time, the market resolves No.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,388 in smart-money activity for this event, with one recent signal: a 93% winner buying No. That suggests at least one strong historical trader is positioning against the full parlay being completed.
When does the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, unless it becomes clear earlier that one of the required conditions cannot be met or that all conditions have already been satisfied.
Is this a prediction market on a ceasefire or a full peace deal?
It is a parlay covering multiple conditions, not just a ceasefire. Traders are betting on the combined outcome of a ceasefire, a NATO-related agreement, and a signed Russia-Ukraine peace deal.