Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
49 signals across 2 markets · $493,000 tracked · resolves Oct 25, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia will win the most seats in Serbia’s parliamentary election, scheduled for October 25, 2026. PolySpotter has tracked $3,439 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal from a profitable serial cross-market bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor adding alongside three linked wallets
A proven bettor with an 87% win rate is adding to a large existing Yes position, while three linked wallets join the same direction.
$5,368Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.6 - Profitable funded cluster adding to No
A proven profitable bettor added heavily to No alongside three linked wallets, making this a strong coordinated position.
$14,420Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 9.1 - Proven bettor adds to linked No position
A proven profitable bettor is adding to a substantial No position, with three other wallets sharing the same funder.
$2,668Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.8 - Seven-wallet linked funding cluster
A strongly linked seven-wallet funding cluster and a highly profitable serial cross-market trader make this contrarian Yes position worth tracking, though only one trade is shown.
$1,438Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet linked funding cluster
A strongly linked seven-wallet funding cluster and a highly profitable serial cross-market trader make this contrarian Yes position worth tracking, though only one trade is shown.
$3,340Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Proven bettor adds to linked No position
A proven profitable bettor is adding to a substantial No position, with three other wallets sharing the same funder.
$1,911Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.6 - Proven bettor adding with four-wallet cluster
A profitable bettor with a strong record is adding to a Yes position alongside three linked wallets.
$4,275Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 7.9 - Three-wallet Yes accumulation
Three wallets bought $55,891 of Yes, led by a new wallet making a repeat large bet, despite sharply falling odds and no strong proven track records.
$4,673Score: 7.4 - Three-wallet political market buying cluster
Three wallets added about $5,145 to Yes, reinforcing an already sizable shared position as the market rose, though the only track record shown is too small and bought at high odds to establish a strong edge.
$4,658Score: 7.0 - Four-wallet coordinated NO position
Four wallets put about $20.6K on No, supported by a market volume spike and cross-market activity, making this a notable contrary position against the 68% Yes favorite.
$15,796Score: 6.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9f891a…aa66$184,500 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xcdfb74…97a0$99,304 · 1 market · 5 alerts
- 0x76a607…b1f1$56,052 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xa5c3cc…6eca$33,982 · 2 markets · 11 alerts
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$28,642 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x8f9438…9a1e$21,524 · 1 market · 3 alerts
- 0x122cb9…fbed$13,868 · 1 market · 11 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x222a23…8fc8$7,843 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xe23495…304a$4,777 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x524db8…4495$3,439 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the odds in the Serbia parliamentary election prediction market?
The market’s live price reflects the implied probability that Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia will win the most seats. Check the market page for current odds.
Which election outcomes are traded in this event?
The listed market asks whether Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia will win the most seats. The event resolves based on which electoral list wins the greatest number of seats.
What is smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter tracks $3,439 in smart-money activity and one signal, flagged as coming from a profitable serial cross-market bettor. This data does not by itself indicate the bettor’s position or direction.
When does the Serbia election market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by October 25, 2026, at 23:59 UTC, based on which electoral list wins the most seats in the National Assembly.