Part of: Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

25 smart money signals detected, totaling $195,270.

Categories: Serbia, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet linked funding cluster

A strongly linked seven-wallet funding cluster and a highly profitable serial cross-market trader make this contrarian Yes position worth tracking, though only one trade is shown.

  • The wallet has won 199 of 303 resolved bets and is up about $225,859 lifetime.
  • Seven wallets share a funder, with about $4,495 in cluster activity identified across runs.
  • The trader sold No at 72¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 28¢; only one trade is shown in this alert.

$3,340 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Three-wallet political market buying cluster

Three wallets added about $5,145 to Yes, reinforcing an already sizable shared position as the market rose, though the only track record shown is too small and bought at high odds to establish a strong edge.

  • Three wallets bought Yes within minutes, adding about $5,145 to existing positions of roughly $37,000 combined.
  • The Yes price has risen 7% in a day, alongside the coordinated buying.
  • One wallet is 6-for-6, but its average winning entry was 89¢, so that record alone does not show a clear edge.

$4,658 on Yes

Seven-wallet linked funding cluster

A strongly linked seven-wallet funding cluster and a highly profitable serial cross-market trader make this contrarian Yes position worth tracking, though only one trade is shown.

  • The wallet has won 199 of 303 resolved bets and is up about $225,859 lifetime.
  • Seven wallets share a funder, with about $4,495 in cluster activity identified across runs.
  • The trader sold No at 72¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 28¢; only one trade is shown in this alert.

$1,438 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

New wallet scaling into YES

A two-day-old wallet has built a roughly $49,700 YES position and added $8,262 amid a 32.5x volume spike, though it has no resolved track record.

  • The wallet added $8,262 to an existing YES position of about $41,400, showing substantial conviction.
  • Trading activity was 32.5 times the market's historical average, though the wallet has no resolved bets to verify its accuracy.

$1,000 on Yes

New whale adding to $44K position

A very new wallet is adding another $12.3K to an already substantial Yes position, with a sharp volume spike but no proven track record.

  • A two-day-old wallet has invested about $44K in Yes, including another $12.3K across five buys.
  • Trading coincided with volume running 24 times above its historical average, though the wallet has no resolved positions to verify its edge.
  • The buys averaged about 32¢ while Yes is currently around 30¢ in this liquid market.

$12,262 on Yes

New wallet scaling into YES

A two-day-old wallet has built a roughly $49,700 YES position and added $8,262 amid a 32.5x volume spike, though it has no resolved track record.

  • The wallet added $8,262 to an existing YES position of about $41,400, showing substantial conviction.
  • Trading activity was 32.5 times the market's historical average, though the wallet has no resolved bets to verify its accuracy.

$8,262 on Yes

New wallet scaling into Yes

A new wallet is adding to a sizable Yes position while the market sees a sharp volume spike, though the election is months away and the wallet has no resolved track record.

  • The wallet has about $17,900 invested in Yes, including this additional $2,194 buy.
  • Trading volume is 32.5× its historical average, but the wallet has no resolved bets to establish a track record.

$2,194 on Yes

New whale adding to $147K Yes position

A newly created wallet added $19.3K to an already substantial $147K Yes position during a 67x volume spike, showing notable conviction despite no proven track record.

  • The wallet has already invested about $147K in Yes and added another $19.3K.
  • Trading activity was 67x the historical average, though the wallet has no resolved bets to establish a track record.
  • The buy was at 35¢; the market is now 32¢, so the price has moved against the position so far.

$20,005 on Yes

New whale adding to $147K Yes position

A newly created wallet added $19.3K to an already substantial $147K Yes position during a 67x volume spike, showing notable conviction despite no proven track record.

  • The wallet has already invested about $147K in Yes and added another $19.3K.
  • Trading activity was 67x the historical average, though the wallet has no resolved bets to establish a track record.
  • The buy was at 35¢; the market is now 32¢, so the price has moved against the position so far.

$20,000 on Yes

New whale adding to $147K Yes position

A newly created wallet added $19.3K to an already substantial $147K Yes position during a 67x volume spike, showing notable conviction despite no proven track record.

  • The wallet has already invested about $147K in Yes and added another $19.3K.
  • Trading activity was 67x the historical average, though the wallet has no resolved bets to establish a track record.
  • The buy was at 35¢; the market is now 32¢, so the price has moved against the position so far.

$10,000 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,238,340
  2. 0x4a2b...af20 — No, $209,774 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x94a4...6356 — No, $100,000 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x134a...9e42 — No, $85,804 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x2061...8ec9 — No, $37,744 (26% win rate)
  6. 0x5849...4986 — No, $32,834 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xd262...8553 — No, $27,602
  8. 0xaf20...ce6a — No, $18,000
  9. 0x6366...f1bf — Yes, $16,086
  10. 0x2200...0f2d — No, $16,000 (33% win rate)

Related Theses

Flávio Bolsonaro wins, Lula loses

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Lula or Flávio wins Brazil’s presidency

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Iran blockade ends in December

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Ceasefire holds through August

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Iran ceasefire holds into winter

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Neither party controls the Senate

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Ceasefire by July, briefly lapses, returns

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Fed will hike rates 25 bps

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Iran ceasefire breaks, resumes, then ends

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Norman or Nordone wins GOP nomination

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Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner$195,270 tracked25 signalsSerbiaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Notable Trades

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-25 14:55 UTC

$3,340 on Yes at 28¢

28¢→100¢↑72¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-25 20:31 UTC

$4,658 on Yes at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-25 06:26 UTC

$1,438 on Yes at 28¢

28¢→100¢↑72¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-24 21:36 UTC

$1,000 on Yes at 32¢

32¢→100¢↑68¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-24 21:10 UTC

$12,262 on Yes at 32¢

32¢→100¢↑68¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-24 21:05 UTC

$8,262 on Yes at 32¢

32¢→100¢↑68¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-24 21:05 UTC

$2,194 on Yes at 32¢

32¢→100¢↑68¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-21 23:00 UTC

$20,005 on Yes at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-21 22:37 UTC

$20,000 on Yes at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-21 22:14 UTC

$10,000 on Yes at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-21 22:04 UTC

$30,000 on Yes at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-21 22:02 UTC

$2,668 on No at 71¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-21 21:50 UTC

$19,299 on Yes at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-21 16:38 UTC

$7,843 on Yes at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-25 20:12 UTC

$10,388 on No at 73¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-20 12:24 UTC

$1,911 on No at 71¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-17 23:05 UTC

$14,420 on No at 62¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-16 07:46 UTC

$3,575 on Yes at 39¢

39¢→100¢↑61¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-13 08:21 UTC

$4,969 on Yes at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-12 10:53 UTC

$2,671 on Yes at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-12 07:27 UTC

$5,791 on Yes at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-11 06:13 UTC

$3,418 on Yes at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-09 15:43 UTC

$2,946 on Yes at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-09 07:12 UTC

$1,130 on Yes at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

2026-10-07 07:26 UTC

$1,085 on Yes at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Related Theses

Flávio Bolsonaro wins, Lula loses
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 2 related markets
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva…Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the …
Lula or Flávio wins Brazil’s presidency
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva…Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the …
Iran blockade ends in December
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US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…
Ceasefire holds through August
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Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…
Iran ceasefire holds into winter
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US x Iran ceasefire continues …US x Iran ceasefire continues …US x Iran ceasefire continues …
Neither party controls the Senate
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Will the Republican Party cont…Will the Democratic Party cont…
Ceasefire by July, briefly lapses, returns
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …
Fed will hike rates 25 bps
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Will there be no change in Fed…Will the Fed increase interest…
Iran ceasefire breaks, resumes, then ends
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US ceasefire against Iran cont…US ceasefire against Iran cont…US ceasefire against Iran cont…
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Will Ralph Norman be the new R…Will Darline Graham Nordone be…