Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $3,478 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether President Trump, the US government, or the US military officially announces that the US-Iran ceasefire is no longer in effect by June 30. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s Yes/No pricing alongside smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable serial cross-market bettor.
Markets (1)
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- 0xe73874…df65$3,478 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What is the Trump US-Iran ceasefire prediction market about?
The market asks whether Trump, the US government, or the US military will publicly and officially announce that no US-Iran ceasefire is in effect by June 30. Traders can price the likelihood of that announcement through the Yes and No outcomes.
What are the current odds for Trump announcing the US-Iran ceasefire is over?
The live odds are based on Polymarket trading in the event’s child market. PolySpotter tracks those prices and highlights changes when notable smart money wallets take positions.
Who is betting on this US-Iran ceasefire market?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,478 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal tied to a profitable serial cross-market bettor. These alerts can help show where experienced prediction-market traders are positioning.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
The event is tied to whether a qualifying official announcement happens by June 30, 2026. If no qualifying announcement occurs by the deadline, the market is expected to resolve to No.
What counts as a qualifying ceasefire-over announcement?
A qualifying statement must clearly and officially indicate that the US-Iran ceasefire commitment is no longer in effect. General speculation, media commentary, or vague political rhetoric would not be enough unless it meets the market’s resolution criteria.