US announces blockade on Iran by...?
2 signals across 2 markets · $3,800 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether the United States will officially announce a naval blockade involving Iran, Iranian ports, or the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026. The market is currently a Yes/No geopolitical outcome, with PolySpotter tracking smart money activity, including a recent signal from a proven bettor buying No.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven bettor buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 76% win rate is buying No on a geopolitical market as part of cross-market positioning.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 3.0 - Proven bettor buying No
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong long-term record and is taking a fresh $2.5k No position in a geopolitics market.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x165ed3…f5aa$3,800 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the odds the US announces a blockade on Iran?
The live Polymarket odds show how traders are pricing the chance that the US officially announces a naval blockade on Iran, ships traveling to or from Iranian ports, or ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by the deadline.
What is the smart money doing on this Iran blockade market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,500 in smart money activity across this event, with a recent alert showing a proven bettor buying No.
What would make this market resolve Yes?
It resolves Yes if the US government, or an authorized representative, publicly and officially announces the imposition of a naval blockade on Iran or covered shipping routes before the deadline.
When does the US Iran blockade market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying official announcement occurs by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. If no such announcement happens, it resolves No.