Part of: US announces blockade on Iran by...?
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,043.
Categories: Iran, Blockade, U.S. x Iran, Trump, shipping, Politics, Peace Deal, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
Proven profitable wallet with a large resolved-bet sample is buying No on a geopolitics market, though size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up about $434k lifetime.
- They have traded 691 markets across 544 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 69¢ follows a recent pullback in Yes after a large weekly move.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
17-wallet sharp cluster adding YES
A proven profitable wallet within a 17-wallet funded cluster is adding to a sizable Yes position on a geopolitical market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $106K lifetime.
- 17 wallets funded by the same source have put about $47K behind this direction.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position with $11K already invested at the same 32¢ entry.
$1,844 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven sharp fading rally
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate is fading the recent Yes rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $852K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader across 70 events with $3.8M in tracked volume.
- They sold Yes after a sharp price rise, which is equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
$3,334 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven sharp fading rally
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate is fading the recent Yes rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $852K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader across 70 events with $3.8M in tracked volume.
- They sold Yes after a sharp price rise, which is equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
$1,068 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Elite 82% bettor adding
Proven high-edge wallet with an 82% long-term win rate is adding to a sizable Yes position amid strong recent price momentum.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $729k lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position worth about $18.5k, showing continued conviction.
- Yes has jumped 21 points in the past day, and this entry at 35¢ still implies a nearly 3x payout if correct.
$3,837 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Proven sharp fading rally
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate is fading the recent Yes rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $852K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader across 70 events with $3.8M in tracked volume.
- They sold Yes after a sharp price rise, which is equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
$1,485 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven sharp fading rally
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate is fading the recent Yes rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $852K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader across 70 events with $3.8M in tracked volume.
- They sold Yes after a sharp price rise, which is equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
$2,976 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven sharp fading rally
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate is fading the recent Yes rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $852K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader across 70 events with $3.8M in tracked volume.
- They sold Yes after a sharp price rise, which is equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
$3,150 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven sharp fading rally
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate is fading the recent Yes rally by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $852K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader across 70 events with $3.8M in tracked volume.
- They sold Yes after a sharp price rise, which is equivalent to buying No at 77¢.
$2,232 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
7-wallet Yes breakout
Strong coordinated Yes buying from seven wallets coincided with a 224x volume spike and a ~50-point price breakout on a geopolitically plausible market.
- Seven wallets bought $28k of Yes in one burst, with entries as low as 32¢ before the market reached 96¢.
- Volume spiked 224x above normal and Yes is up 63 points over the past day.
- Several buyers were adding to existing Yes positions, and one active cross-market trader has a 94% win rate across 570 markets.
$28,357 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x9868...64b0 — Outcome 64713548, $12,952 (90% win rate)
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — Outcome 64713548, $10,350 (60% win rate)
- 0x85a8...9281 — Outcome 64713548, $9,494 (93% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 64713548, $7,492 (61% win rate)
- 0x121d...832a — Outcome 64713548, $5,901 (75% win rate)
- 0x061a...142b — Outcome 64713548, $5,000
- 0x5666...c630 — Outcome 64713548, $5,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xf42f...a6a7 — Outcome 64713548, $5,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xe26e...036b — Outcome 64713548, $4,958 (90% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 64713548, $4,800
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