Event

US X Iran Permanent Peace Deal BY

525 signals across 6 markets · $3,347,928 tracked

Markets (6)

  1. US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?157 signals · $1,053,854 tracked
  2. US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?146 signals · $970,948 tracked
  3. US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?122 signals · $711,669 tracked
  4. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?80 signals · $513,833 tracked
  5. US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?6 signals · $53,315 tracked
  6. US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?14 signals · $44,309 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 19-wallet linked Yes cluster

    A 19-wallet linked cluster put nearly $75k into Yes around 10¢ across this event, with several wallets showing strong cross-market track records and one repeat new wallet adding meaningful size.

    $74,838Score: 66.0
  2. 4-wallet geopolitics NO cluster

    Four wallets with solid historical results piled into NO on the same geopolitics market, including one bettor winning 82% of resolved trades, making this coordinated directional flow worth following despite the market being liquid.

    $6,228Score: 36.5
  3. 4 sharp wallets piling into No

    Four profitable cross-market traders with strong historical records all leaned No here, including an 84% win-rate wallet and a $1.8M P&L wallet, creating coordinated conviction in a major geopolitics market.

    $16,376Score: 31.5
  4. 3-wallet geopolitical No cluster

    Three wallets coordinated nearly $19k into No, including a strong 74% long-term cross-market trader and a 4-day-old wallet betting big, giving this geopolitical market enough conviction and bettor quality to watch despite solid market liquidity.

    $6,894Score: 25.1
  5. 5-wallet Yes cluster

    Five wallets piled into Yes at 14¢, including one with an 82% win rate and a repeat new wallet, creating coordinated bullish flow on a low-probability geopolitical market.

    $7,421Score: 24.3
  6. 86% winner in linked cluster

    A highly profitable cross-market trader with an 86% win rate joined a 7-wallet linked cluster buying Yes, making this coordinated positioning worth surfacing despite the market’s deep liquidity.

    $8,782Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 19.8
  7. 5-wallet Yes cluster

    Coordinated Yes buying across 5 wallets is backed by broader cross-market positioning and a sharp 1-day move in a geopolitics market where informed flow is plausible.

    $14,330Score: 19.8
  8. 88% win-rate macro bettor

    A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate sold Yes at 60¢, effectively buying No at 40¢, alongside a 5-wallet one-sided cluster on a fast-moving geopolitics market.

    $4,033Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 18.1
  9. Sharp cluster buying No

    A proven sharp wallet with an 88% win rate joined an 8-wallet coordinated bet on No across this event, reinforcing a broader cross-market thesis despite the modest single-ticket size.

    $1,800Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 17.5
  10. 4-wallet geopolitical cluster

    Four wallets piled into No across this Iran peace-deal market and related markets, including a very new repeat bettor, signaling coordinated conviction on a geopolitical thesis rather than routine activity.

    $9,951Score: 17.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x35bbba009b$383,868 · 4 markets · 63 alerts · 74% wins
  2. 0xf39651ed0d$267,144 · 2 markets · 12 alerts · 90% wins
  3. 0xbaa2bc2c73$161,369 · 5 markets · 18 alerts · 63% wins
  4. 0xfc2f4f10c7$154,057 · 5 markets · 83 alerts · 85% wins
  5. 0x1b355db4b6$152,443 · 1 market · 5 alerts
  6. 0x293e587674$144,435 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 100% wins
  7. 0xde7be65f4b$131,074 · 5 markets · 26 alerts · 86% wins
  8. 0x68c24b1711$123,108 · 4 markets · 18 alerts · 57% wins
  9. 0x3a8aa37699$118,411 · 4 markets · 16 alerts · 90% wins
  10. 0x9cdac21397$82,761 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 100% wins

More on this event

US X Iran Permanent Peace Deal BY — Polymarket Odds & Smart Money | PolySpotter