US X Iran Permanent Peace Deal BY
525 signals across 6 markets · $3,347,928 tracked
Markets (6)
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?157 signals · $1,053,854 tracked
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?146 signals · $970,948 tracked
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?122 signals · $711,669 tracked
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?80 signals · $513,833 tracked
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?6 signals · $53,315 tracked
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?14 signals · $44,309 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 19-wallet linked Yes cluster
A 19-wallet linked cluster put nearly $75k into Yes around 10¢ across this event, with several wallets showing strong cross-market track records and one repeat new wallet adding meaningful size.
$74,838Score: 66.0 - 4-wallet geopolitics NO cluster
Four wallets with solid historical results piled into NO on the same geopolitics market, including one bettor winning 82% of resolved trades, making this coordinated directional flow worth following despite the market being liquid.
$6,228Score: 36.5 - 4 sharp wallets piling into No
Four profitable cross-market traders with strong historical records all leaned No here, including an 84% win-rate wallet and a $1.8M P&L wallet, creating coordinated conviction in a major geopolitics market.
$16,376Score: 31.5 - 3-wallet geopolitical No cluster
Three wallets coordinated nearly $19k into No, including a strong 74% long-term cross-market trader and a 4-day-old wallet betting big, giving this geopolitical market enough conviction and bettor quality to watch despite solid market liquidity.
$6,894Score: 25.1 - 5-wallet Yes cluster
Five wallets piled into Yes at 14¢, including one with an 82% win rate and a repeat new wallet, creating coordinated bullish flow on a low-probability geopolitical market.
$7,421Score: 24.3 - 86% winner in linked cluster
A highly profitable cross-market trader with an 86% win rate joined a 7-wallet linked cluster buying Yes, making this coordinated positioning worth surfacing despite the market’s deep liquidity.
$8,782Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 19.8 - 5-wallet Yes cluster
Coordinated Yes buying across 5 wallets is backed by broader cross-market positioning and a sharp 1-day move in a geopolitics market where informed flow is plausible.
$14,330Score: 19.8 - 88% win-rate macro bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate sold Yes at 60¢, effectively buying No at 40¢, alongside a 5-wallet one-sided cluster on a fast-moving geopolitics market.
$4,033Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 18.1 - Sharp cluster buying No
A proven sharp wallet with an 88% win rate joined an 8-wallet coordinated bet on No across this event, reinforcing a broader cross-market thesis despite the modest single-ticket size.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 17.5 - 4-wallet geopolitical cluster
Four wallets piled into No across this Iran peace-deal market and related markets, including a very new repeat bettor, signaling coordinated conviction on a geopolitical thesis rather than routine activity.
$9,951Score: 17.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x35bbba…009b$383,868 · 4 markets · 63 alerts · 74% wins
- 0xf39651…ed0d$267,144 · 2 markets · 12 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$161,369 · 5 markets · 18 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$154,057 · 5 markets · 83 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x1b355d…b4b6$152,443 · 1 market · 5 alerts
- 0x293e58…7674$144,435 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$131,074 · 5 markets · 26 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x68c24b…1711$123,108 · 4 markets · 18 alerts · 57% wins
- 0x3a8aa3…7699$118,411 · 4 markets · 16 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x9cdac2…1397$82,761 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 100% wins