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Event

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

1 signal across 1 market · $1,319 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Francesca Hong will win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by at least 30 percentage points. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s Yes/No odds, with a recent alert showing a whale added No in the thinly traded market.

Markets (1)

  1. Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?1 signal · $1,319 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Whale adds No in thin market

    A sizable add-on to an existing No position moved the thin market sharply and accounts for over eight times recent volume, despite the wallet lacking a standout win rate.

    $1,319Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 0.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x52071e…686b$1,319 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Hong won’t win by those margins

FAQs

What are the Wisconsin Democratic primary margin odds?

The event covers the Yes/No prediction market on whether Francesca Hong will win the Wisconsin Democratic governor primary by at least 30 percentage points. Check the live market for current Polymarket odds.

What does the Wisconsin primary prediction market resolve on?

It resolves based on the absolute percentage-point difference between the first- and second-place candidates in the August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.

What is smart money doing in this event?

PolySpotter tracks $1,319 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert says a whale added No in the thin market, indicating a notable trade against a margin of at least 30%.

When does this Wisconsin governor primary market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by August 11, 2026, at 23:59 UTC, once the official primary results determine the margin between the top two candidates.