Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,575.
Notable Trades
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
A proven 83% win-rate trader with nearly $250k profit is making a sizable cross-market election bet, adding a strong directional signal despite the market being fairly liquid overall.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $249k lifetime
- They have traded 70 markets across 39 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought NO at 90¢ with $4.6k, a stake equal to 185% of this market’s 24-hour volume
$4,575 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $95,460
- 0x682d...31ab — No, $41,831
- 0xdc03...804c — Yes, $26,902 (83% win rate)
- 0x4593...8d75 — Yes, $14,766
- 0x784f...5df9 — Yes, $12,099 (86% win rate)
- 0x57be...0deb — Yes, $8,403
- 0x23fa...860e — Yes, $6,320
- 0x3dca...3c13 — Yes, $6,260
- 0x60a9...5a71 — Yes, $4,778
- 0xf42f...a6a7 — Yes, $4,349