Peru Presidential Election Winner
480 signals across 7 markets · $2,487,213 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
Follow the Peru 2026 presidential election prediction market as traders price the chances of leading candidates including Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga, Alfonso López Chau, Carlos Álvarez, Jorge Nieto, Ricardo Belmont, and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. PolySpotter tracks over $1.2M in smart money across this event, with recent signals showing sharp-wallet clusters buying both YES and NO across candidate markets.
Markets (7)
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?263 signals · $1,593,458 tracked
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?128 signals · $502,410 tracked
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?62 signals · $299,569 tracked
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?15 signals · $41,842 tracked
- Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3 signals · $32,675 tracked
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8 signals · $12,683 tracked
- Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1 signal · $4,575 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 80% winner leaning No
Surface because a profitable 80% winner and experienced cross-market traders are collectively leaning No, though the trade size is modest for this liquid market.
$5,893Score: 22.6 - Proven election sharps buying Yes
Three wallets are all adding Yes exposure, led by two proven profitable bettors with 82–86% win rates and strong cross-market election records.
$7,638Score: 19.1 - Coordinated $140K contrarian NO
Surface: three wallets put $140k on No in a liquid Peru election market alongside a 65x volume spike, making this a notable coordinated contrarian position despite mixed wallet histories.
$140,178Score: 18.4 - Sharp serial trader buying No
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively adding bearish Fujimori exposure amid broader one-sided No flow and a sharp price move down.
$1,233Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 17.9 - 80% winner buying No
Sharp 80% win-rate wallet with $423.5k lifetime profit is taking the No side alongside broader one-sided flow across Peru election markets.
$1,373Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 17.1 - 86% winner buying No
A highly profitable 86% win-rate cross-market trader is buying No, with additional one-sided flow from other wallets.
$3,181Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 16.8 - Linked sharps buying No
Three wallets, including one with a 79% win rate over 1,002 resolved bets, coordinated into No and pushed price higher on a major political market with linked funding and cross-market election positioning.
$7,735Score: 16.7 - 81% win-rate NO bettor
A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet is effectively buying No, backed by one-sided flow from 6 wallets and cross-market positioning in the same election event.
$1,777Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 16.6 - 95% hitter leads Yes cluster
Three wallets put nearly $34k behind Rafael López Aliaga Yes, including a bettor with a 95% win rate and a 2-day-old wallet repeatedly making large bets, making this coordinated political positioning worth surfacing.
$33,857Score: 16.6 - 80% cross-market sharp
Sharp 80% lifetime winner is buying Yes amid coordinated one-sided flow and a large Peru-election volume spike.
$4,757Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 16.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdc03d6…804c$418,469 · 7 markets · 71 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x784fee…5df9$227,095 · 5 markets · 81 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x7664aa…2e50$154,100 · 3 markets · 20 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$150,394 · 2 markets · 10 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x1fee90…ed5e$106,169 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x676489…49c4$85,485 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x37d366…709a$80,863 · 2 markets · 18 alerts · 55% wins
- 0xc6dd72…4b9f$68,834 · 2 markets · 21 alerts · 68% wins
- 0x629bc4…995a$55,367 · 3 markets · 9 alerts · 52% wins
- 0x22e424…ef1c$55,328 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 58% wins
FAQs
What are the current Peru presidential election odds on Polymarket?
This event tracks Polymarket odds across multiple candidate markets for the 2026 Peruvian presidential election, including Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga, Alfonso López Chau, Carlos Álvarez, Jorge Nieto, Ricardo Belmont, and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. The hub view helps compare how the market is pricing each candidate’s chance of winning.
What is smart money doing in the Peru 2026 election market?
PolySpotter has tracked about $1.26M in smart money and 205 signals across this event. Recent alerts include a 4-wallet election surge, five sharp wallets buying YES, and several sharp clusters buying NO, suggesting active disagreement among experienced traders.
Which candidates are included in this Peru election prediction market?
The event includes individual markets for Alfonso López Chau, Carlos Álvarez, Jorge Nieto, Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga, Ricardo Belmont, and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. It also accounts for a possible second round in the election.
When does the Peru presidential election market resolve?
The election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, and the market resolves based on the candidate who wins the next Peruvian presidential election, including any runoff. If results are not definitively known by October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
How can I use PolySpotter for this Polymarket event?
PolySpotter highlights smart-wallet activity across all child markets in the Peru presidential election event, making it easier to see where sharp traders are accumulating YES or NO positions instead of checking each candidate market manually.