What is the Mojtaba Khamenei public sighting prediction market about?

The market predicts whether Mojtaba Khamenei will be seen in public through authentic photo or video evidence released before the July 31, 2026 resolution deadline.

What counts as a Yes outcome for this Polymarket?

A Yes resolution requires authentic images or video of Mojtaba Khamenei that were both taken and released within the market timeframe. Old footage, reused images, AI-generated media, digitally altered content, or staged reproductions do not qualify.

When does the Mojtaba Khamenei market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026, based on whether qualifying public photo or video evidence appears before the listed deadline.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,571 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market, including alerts tied to sharp cross-market bettors and a high-win-rate funded cluster.

Why are traders watching this Iran-related prediction market?

Public appearances by high-profile Iranian political figures can be geopolitically significant, especially during periods of uncertainty. Traders use Polymarket odds and smart money signals to gauge how the market is pricing the likelihood of a verified sighting.

Part of: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

This prediction market asks whether Mojtaba Khamenei will be photographed or videotaped in public before July 31, 2026. To resolve Yes, authentic media must be taken and released during the market window; archival, altered, AI-generated, or reused footage does not count. PolySpotter is tracking $1,571 in smart money activity and 1 signal tied to this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,075.

Categories: Middle East, Israel, Iran, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

98% winner buys NO

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No at 84¢ while also positioning across a related market.

This bettor has won 49 of 50 resolved trades and is up $44.7k lifetime.
They put $3.7k on No at 84¢, adding to a $15.7k cross-market thesis.
The market has moved toward No recently, with Yes down 14 points over the past week.

$1,571 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

98% winner buys NO

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No at 84¢ while also positioning across a related market.

This bettor has won 49 of 50 resolved trades and is up $44.7k lifetime.
They put $3.7k on No at 84¢, adding to a $15.7k cross-market thesis.
The market has moved toward No recently, with Yes down 14 points over the past week.

$3,744 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp cross-market bettor

Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $817k lifetime.
They have put $5.2k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
Entry at 74¢ implies a steady but still copyable position on No.

$1,275 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

94% winner funded cluster

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet from a 17-wallet funded cluster is buying No on a news-sensitive politics market with recent price momentum in the same direction.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $77.5K lifetime.
17 wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this direction.
They bought No at 87¢ as Yes has fallen 16.5 points in the past day.

$1,754 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%