Part of: US and Iran sign an agreement by...?
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,114.
Categories: Iran, Treaty, U.S. x Iran, Trump, Politics, Geopolitics, Peace Deal
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% resolved win rate is re-entering Yes with $8.75k amid a major volume spike and sharp upward price move.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $240k lifetime.
- They have traded 52 related events with about $599k deployed, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They bought $8.75k of Yes as volume spiked over 260x and the market rose 21 points in a day.
$8,750 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes into a major volume spike and strong upward price move on a geopolitics market.
- This bettor has traded 287 resolved markets with a 63% win rate and is up $127K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 29 events with $175K in similar event bets tracked.
- Market activity surged 269x above its recent average, while Yes has jumped 21 points in the past day.
$4,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
98% winner buying Yes
Surfacing because this is an exceptionally proven cross-market trader with a 98% resolved win rate buying Yes amid a major volume and price surge.
- This bettor has won 98% of 1,547 resolved trades and is up $37,442 lifetime.
- They have traded across 533 markets with over $3.0M in total volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- The market saw a 58x volume spike and Yes is up 17.5 points in 24 hours.
$4,394 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Proven cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% long-run win rate bought Yes during a major volume and price surge.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 1,093 markets and is up $179,818 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.77M deployed across 178 events.
- The market is seeing a 58.5x volume spike and Yes is up 17.5 points in 24 hours.
$2,011 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Serial trader buying YES
Seasoned cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L bought Yes into a sharp volume and price surge on a geopolitics market.
- This bettor has 1,444 resolved trades and is up $97,740 lifetime.
- Market activity spiked 58x while Yes jumped 17.5 points in the past day.
- They bought Yes at 88¢, signaling confidence despite already-high odds.
$1,760 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
High-win serial traders cluster
Three wallets bought Yes together after a major volume spike, including two high-win serial cross-market traders with positive lifetime P&L.
- Two serial cross-market bettors joined this move, including one with a 98% record and another up $179k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $10.8k of Yes at 88¢ in the same two-minute window.
- The market has surged 17.5 points today with a huge volume spike, suggesting momentum behind the Yes side.
$10,799 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x5739...5f1a — Outcome 47954820, $102,466 (55% win rate)
- 0xb8b4...1f6e — Outcome 47954820, $43,063 (67% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 47954820, $14,808
- 0x0354...2913 — Outcome 47954820, $5,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 47954820, $3,317 (72% win rate)
- 0x215a...254c — Outcome 47954820, $3,141
- 0x56f3...6513 — Outcome 47954820, $1,602
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 47954820, $1,366
- 0x13d1...5c3c — Outcome 47954820, $1,000
- 0x645a...fd84 — Outcome 47954820, $608 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran leadership changes by December
Covers 6 related markets
Iran peace deal comes early
Covers 11 related markets
Starmer stays through June
Covers 4 related markets