Part of: Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy will cease to be President of Ukraine at any point before the end of 2026. The supplied market snapshot does not include current Yes/No odds; it tracks $14,063 in smart-money activity across one signal and resolves on December 31, 2026, or earlier after an official resignation or removal announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,885.

Categories: Politics, Ukraine, Geopolitics, World, Earn 4%

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is adding $14,063 to an existing No position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 71 resolved trades and is up $467,651, despite averaging only 51% entry odds.
  • They added $14,063 to an existing No position, bringing total investment to over $31,000.
  • The new bet equals roughly 400% of the market’s recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in No.

$14,063 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial political bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian Yes position on a quiet political market with a bet larger than recent daily volume.

  • This bettor has 898 resolved trades, wins 62% of them, and is up $367k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $750k flagged across 85 markets, suggesting an active political thesis.
  • The $3.4k trade was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, buying the long-shot Yes side around 12¢.

$3,422 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%

Brand-new repeat bettor

A brand-new wallet made repeat large bets totaling $4,000, including a $2,000 buy on No in a liquid politics market, suggesting early conviction but with no proven track record.

  • A wallet created 16 minutes earlier has already placed $4,000 in flagged bets.
  • This trade backs Zelenskyy staying president through 2026, buying No at 82¢ with the market now around 84¢.
  • The market is liquid overall, but 24h volume is only about $2.2K, so this $2K order is meaningful recent flow.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable new wallet buying NO

A very new but already profitable repeat bettor is adding a $1.4k No position on a political market, though the trade lacks corroborating flow or price momentum.

  • This wallet is only 8 days old but is already up $2.3k across 5 resolved wins.
  • The bettor has now triggered repeat large-bet alerts, with $7.4k total flagged activity.
  • They bought No at 87¢, signaling confidence that Zelenskyy remains president through 2026.

$1,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdfe3...73c4 No, $183,112 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x5739...5f1a Yes, $99,334 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xfd22...ad91 Yes, $58,541 (39% win rate)
  4. 0x7a3b...2138 Yes, $56,422
  5. 0x4bbe...2cf3 No, $46,272 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x833a...adec Yes, $45,488
  7. 0xa81e...03dc Yes, $42,998 (56% win rate)
  8. 0x8afa...adb6 No, $37,300 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x5f17...519e No, $36,592 (91% win rate)
  10. 0xb93e...b8fd Yes, $34,319 (75% win rate)

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Ceasefire lasts through August, then collapses

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Iran peace deal unlikely

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No US-Iran meeting soon

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Iran keeps airspace open

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No Iran agreement announced

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Vance skips Iran meeting

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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

128dZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$20,885 tracked4 signalsPoliticsUkraineGeopoliticsWorldEarn 4%
Yes
9¢
No
92¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
96¢
93¢
90¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

34d ago

$14,063 on No at 90¢

90¢92¢2¢

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

72d ago

$3,422 on Yes at 12¢

12¢9¢3¢

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

103d ago

$2,000 on No at 82¢

82¢92¢10¢

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

112d ago

$1,400 on No at 87¢

87¢92¢5¢

Related Theses