When is the Sweden prime minister market expected to resolve?

The market is associated with Sweden’s September 13, 2026 parliamentary election. It resolves once an eligible prime minister assumes office, with a final deadline of June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.

Do interim or caretaker prime ministers count?

No. The market rules specify that an interim or caretaker prime minister does not count; the individual must be officially appointed and assume the office.

Where can I find the current odds for Magdalena Andersson?

The current Yes and No prices are shown on the live market page. The supplied metadata does not include a current price, while PolySpotter provides smart-money tracking and market activity signals.

What smart-money activity has been reported for this market?

Reported signals include a seven-wallet funded cluster buying Yes, coordinated sellers favoring No, sharp wallets exiting Yes, and a sharp bettor adding to Yes.

Part of: Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Q: What is this Magdalena Andersson prediction market about?

It covers whether Magdalena Andersson will become the next officially appointed and serving prime minister of Sweden following the country’s 2026 parliamentary election.

This Sweden prediction market asks whether Magdalena Andersson will be the next officially appointed and serving prime minister after the September 13, 2026 parliamentary election. The supplied metadata does not include a current Yes/No price, but PolySpotter tracks smart-money activity, including signals from buyers and sellers. The market excludes interim or caretaker prime ministers and resolves when an eligible leader assumes office, subject to the June 30, 2027 deadline.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,602.

Categories: Elections, World, World Elections, Global Elections, Sweden, Swedish, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, Politics, Main Election, Sweden Elections, Sweden Parliamentary Elections

Notable Trades

Serial trader with 79% wins

A consistently profitable serial cross-market trader is selling Yes, a directional No position, though this single trade is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has won 79% of 291 resolved trades and is up $138,375.
They have traded across 37 events, and this sale of Yes points toward No.
The equivalent No entry is about 32¢; the market is liquid, so the trade is less notable for its size.

$1,578 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Seven-wallet cluster betting against Yes

A seven-wallet shared-funder cluster is tied to a fresh sell of Yes, while a profitable serial cross-market trader also signals against Andersson becoming prime minister.

Seven wallets share a funder, with $1,526 in alert activity on this market.
The trader sold Yes at 76¢, signaling a No position; they have won 65% of 296 resolved bets and are up $209,568 lifetime.
This is a fresh position, not a sale of the wallet’s previously closed Yes or No holdings.

$1,526 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable bettor adds to Yes

A profitable bettor with a strong 75% record and reported 33-point edge made a substantial fresh Yes buy, though they also hold No on the market.

This bettor has won 39 of 52 resolved bets and is up $27,044, with a reported 33-point edge over average odds.
The $4,636 Yes buy was about 85% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
They already hold both Yes and No, so this addition increases their Yes exposure rather than establishing a one-sided position.

$4,636 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

98% winner adding to Yes position

A highly successful bettor with 98% wins across 261 resolved positions added $3,000 to an existing Yes position despite the market price falling.

This bettor has won 257 of 261 resolved positions, with an average win price of 45¢.
They added $3,000 to an existing Yes position at 75¢ while the current price is 71¢.

$1,408 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner adding to Yes position

A highly successful bettor with 98% wins across 261 resolved positions added $3,000 to an existing Yes position despite the market price falling.

This bettor has won 257 of 261 resolved positions, with an average win price of 45¢.
They added $3,000 to an existing Yes position at 75¢ while the current price is 71¢.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial trader adding to Yes

A serial cross-market trader with 78% wins across 93 resolved bets added to an existing Yes position, though the market is already priced at 85%.

This bettor has won 78% of 93 resolved bets and is up $9,376 overall.
They added about $1,346 to an existing Yes position after trading across 31 events.
The entry was 85¢, close to the market’s current 85% odds, so there is little obvious price discount.

$1,346 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

82% winner buys Yes into surge

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial historical edge is buying Yes at 88¢ as the market surges.

This bettor wins 82% of 283 resolved trades and is up $1.48 million lifetime.
They are buying Yes at 88¢ after the market rose 25% in one day, signaling strong conviction in Magdalena Andersson.
The wallet has traded across 95 events and 129 markets, providing a meaningful record beyond this single position.

$6,344 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

82% winner buys Yes into surge

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial historical edge is buying Yes at 88¢ as the market surges.

This bettor wins 82% of 283 resolved trades and is up $1.48 million lifetime.
They are buying Yes at 88¢ after the market rose 25% in one day, signaling strong conviction in Magdalena Andersson.
The wallet has traded across 95 events and 129 markets, providing a meaningful record beyond this single position.

$1,515 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Seven-wallet funded cluster buys Yes

A seven-wallet funded cluster helped drive a 23% Yes move, with this profitable serial trader adding over $3,000 despite already holding a prior Yes position.

Seven wallets sharing a funder have deployed about $3,043 on Yes, signaling coordinated conviction.
This trader is up $165,000 lifetime across 228 resolved bets and added $3,042 at 83¢–90¢.
Yes rose 23% in one day alongside a 16.8× volume spike, confirming strong recent buying pressure.

$3,043 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Seven-wallet funded cluster

Seven linked wallets are coordinating around a fresh Yes position, making this a meaningful directional signal despite the trader's only moderate track record.

Seven wallets sharing a funder are tied to $1,420 of Yes activity on this market.
The trader is re-entering Yes near 71¢, while the market currently prices it at 72¢.
The wallet has won 66% of 228 resolved bets, though its 86¢ average winning entry suggests only moderate evidence of edge.

$1,420 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — No, $368,379
0xc95e...1288 — Yes, $74,616 (92% win rate)
0xdd15...4a07 — No, $55,464 (78% win rate)
0xd604...bc8a — Yes, $54,706 (97% win rate)
0x56d0...81d6 — Yes, $37,731 (57% win rate)
0x23d8...0288 — Yes, $34,036 (81% win rate)
0xc52c...ac6e — No, $33,575
0x3b83...e2c8 — Yes, $31,468 (100% win rate)
0xc6dd...4b9f — Yes, $28,742 (70% win rate)
0xdade...3639 — No, $27,542 (88% win rate)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden$57,602 tracked16 signalsElectionsWorldWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsSwedenSwedishRewards 20, 4.5, 50PoliticsMain ElectionSweden ElectionsSweden Parliamentary Elections

Yes

69¢

31¢

Yes

69¢

31¢

Price History — “Yes”

75¢

72¢

68¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction