Part of: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This Polymarket prediction market asks whether Jon Ossoff will win and accept the Democratic Party’s 2028 U.S. presidential nomination. The market resolves using a consensus of official Democratic Party sources on November 7, 2028; live odds are not included in the supplied market data. Smart money tracking shows $5,272 across one signal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,533.

Categories: World Elections, Elections, Politics, US Election, Earn 4%, Primaries, United States, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Elite sharp buying longshot

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% record and $723k lifetime profit bought Ossoff Yes at 8¢, making the wallet’s track record the key signal despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $723k lifetime.
  • They bought Ossoff at 8¢, implying a longshot they think is underpriced.
  • The wallet has 1,267 resolved positions, so this is a proven track record rather than a small-sample hit.

$5,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Elite sharp buying longshot

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% record and $723k lifetime profit bought Ossoff Yes at 8¢, making the wallet’s track record the key signal despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $723k lifetime.
  • They bought Ossoff at 8¢, implying a longshot they think is underpriced.
  • The wallet has 1,267 resolved positions, so this is a proven track record rather than a small-sample hit.

$1,044 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Elite sharp buying longshot

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% record and $723k lifetime profit bought Ossoff Yes at 8¢, making the wallet’s track record the key signal despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $723k lifetime.
  • They bought Ossoff at 8¢, implying a longshot they think is underpriced.
  • The wallet has 1,267 resolved positions, so this is a proven track record rather than a small-sample hit.

$1,236 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate is buying a long-shot 2028 Democratic nomination outcome at 6¢.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 267 resolved trades and is up about $705k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 44 events and $4.7M in tracked volume.
  • Entry at 6¢ is a long-shot politics bet with high upside if their nomination thesis is right.

$2,202 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Proven cross-market political bettor

A proven profitable cross-market political trader with a 71% win rate is buying a low-priced nominee longshot as part of a broader 2028 Democratic nomination thesis.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 182 resolved trades and is up about $60.8k lifetime
  • They have traded 132 related markets across 93 events, which suggests a repeatable event-driven process rather than a one-off punt
  • Buying Yes at 6¢ shows willingness to back a cheap longshot with defined upside, even though this market is already very liquid

$1,260 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable thesis bettor

A highly active and profitable cross-market trader with a large resolved sample bought a long-shot political outcome at 6¢, making this a small but potentially informative thesis bet worth surfacing.

  • This bettor has a 70% win rate across 266 resolved markets and is up about $684k.
  • They trade related markets repeatedly across events, suggesting a habit of building broader political theses rather than making random bets.
  • They bought Yes at 6¢, a low-risk entry that implies they see Jon Ossoff's nomination chances as meaningfully higher than the market does.

$1,519 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $3,095,382
  2. 0x3cd6...18e4 Yes, $765,436 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xe899...0899 Yes, $318,651 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x0891...508a Yes, $150,081
  5. 0xc109...1ad2 Yes, $123,180 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xc0df...8dad Yes, $109,701
  7. 0xa1eb...1c67 Yes, $89,216
  8. 0x6e82...752c Yes, $81,697 (77% win rate)
  9. 0x9703...69c2 Yes, $81,027
  10. 0x08e5...6aa6 Yes, $80,000

Related Theses

Someone else wins Peru presidency

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Lula wins, Flávio loses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

805dDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028$12,533 tracked6 signalsWorld ElectionsElectionsPoliticsUS ElectionEarn 4%PrimariesUnited StatesGlobal Elections
Yes
15¢
No
85¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “No
88¢
86¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

5d ago

$5,272 on Yes at 8¢

8¢15¢7¢

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

72d ago

$1,044 on Yes at 8¢

8¢15¢7¢

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

72d ago

$1,236 on Yes at 8¢

8¢15¢7¢

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

79d ago

$2,202 on Yes at 6¢

6¢15¢9¢

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

117d ago

$1,260 on Yes at 6¢

6¢15¢9¢

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

130d ago

$1,519 on Yes at 6¢

6¢15¢9¢

Related Theses