Part of: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,660.

Categories: Global Elections, World, Elections, World Elections, Politics, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Germany, German Elections, Main Election

Notable Trades

81% winner flips to Yes

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate is taking a fresh Yes position at near-even odds after previously closing a No position.

This bettor has won 81% of 291 resolved trades and earned about $1.51 million.
The new $1,494 Yes bet at 51¢ follows a closed No position, suggesting a deliberate shift in view.
The trader has positioned across 97 events and 133 markets, indicating substantial repeat-market experience.

$1,494 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp cluster buying Yes

Three wallets committed nearly $8,000 to Yes, including a proven 79% winner, while the market rose 20 percentage points in one day.

Three wallets committed $7,968 to Yes, with one bettor holding a 79% win rate across 1,191 resolved trades.
The market moved from roughly 22% to 42% Yes in one day, supporting the coordinated buying signal.
One wallet is adding to an existing Yes position, while serial cross-market traders are positioning around this election event.

$7,968 on Yes

Elite serial trader backs No

A highly profitable, exceptionally experienced bettor is exiting Yes at 15%, effectively backing No despite the prior Yes position making this somewhat less informative.

This bettor has won 82% of 1,624 resolved trades and is up $836,566 lifetime.
The wallet is taking the bearish side at 15% Yes, effectively buying No at 85%.
The prior Yes position means this may be a loss-cutting exit rather than entirely fresh conviction.

$1,269 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor joins coordinated No flow

A three-wallet No cluster includes a highly profitable 79% bettor, though two trades are exits from existing Yes positions rather than entirely fresh conviction.

Three wallets committed $5,217 against SPD, including a bettor with a 79% win rate and $37,665 profit.
The strongest wallet bought No at 78%, while two others sold Yes around 22–24%, reinforcing the same binary outcome.
The signal is tempered because two wallets were reducing existing Yes positions rather than opening fresh No positions.

$5,217 on No

Proven sharp buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with 81% win rate is making a sizable No bet that equals 74% of the market's 24h volume despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $120.7K lifetime.
The $4.8K No buy is large for this market, equal to 74% of the last 24h volume.
Entry at 88¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite-position trade on a thin political market.

$4,916 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Proven sharp buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with 81% win rate is making a sizable No bet that equals 74% of the market's 24h volume despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $120.7K lifetime.
The $4.8K No buy is large for this market, equal to 74% of the last 24h volume.
Entry at 88¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite-position trade on a thin political market.

$4,795 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner$25,660 tracked6 signalsGlobal ElectionsWorldElectionsWorld ElectionsPoliticsMecklenburg-VorpommernGermanyGerman ElectionsMain Election

Yes

0¢

100¢

Yes

0¢

100¢