Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,057.

Notable Trades

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

A proven 83% win-rate trader with large lifetime profit made a $21.6k bet on No across this Peru election market cluster, and the single trade was over 2.5x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $249k lifetime
  • They put $21.6k into No at 84¢, which was 258% of this market’s 24h volume
  • They trade across related election markets often: 39 events, 72 markets, and more than $1.5M deployed

$21,589 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

A proven high-volume wallet with an 83% win rate and nearly $250k profit made a sizable cross-market political bet, buying No at 84¢ across this election event.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $249k across $1.44M invested
  • They trade election markets repeatedly across 39 events and 70 markets, suggesting a real edge in politics
  • They bought No at 84¢ with a $4.5k order, over half of this market's 24-hour volume

$4,468 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $95,460
  2. 0x7fdc...1830 Yes, $40,774
  3. 0xb4d1...4c60 Yes, $21,974
  4. 0x784f...5df9 Yes, $17,008 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x3dca...3c13 No, $8,000
  6. 0x1711...d1ac Yes, $6,297
  7. 0x60a9...5a71 Yes, $4,314
  8. 0xac51...a1fb Yes, $3,124
  9. 0xf42f...a6a7 No, $3,013
  10. 0x0d62...27e0 No, $1,400

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

13d$26,057 tracked2 signalsPoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsElectionsPeru
Yes
13¢
No
87¢

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Notable Trades

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

3d ago

$21,589 on No at 84¢

84¢87¢3¢

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

4d ago

$4,468 on No at 84¢

84¢87¢3¢

Related Theses

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | PolySpotter