Part of: Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
This Polymarket market asks whether Otzma Yehudit will win 6–7 seats in Israel’s 2026 Knesset election, expected on October 27, 2026. Current odds are not included in the supplied market data; the market is scheduled to resolve by November 30, 2026.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,360.
Categories: World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel Election, Global Elections, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% record made a sizable No bet, though the market has since moved sharply against that position.
- This bettor has won 347 of 431 resolved bets and is up about $710,000.
- They put $1,360 on No at 79¢, but No is now around 48¢ as Yes has gained 18% in a day.
- The thin market and wide spread make copying at the original entry especially risky.
$1,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
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