Part of: Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,817.
Categories: Elections, Politics, Greenland, Denmark, World Elections, Global Elections, Mette Frederiksen, Denmark Election, Depreciated9, Main Election, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, rewards 100, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet fades favorite
A newly active profitable wallet is making a meaningful contrarian bet against an 89% favorite in a low-activity political market.
- This newer bettor is 6-for-6 on resolved trades and up about $1.6k so far.
- The $4.2k trade is large for this market’s recent activity, roughly two-thirds of reported 24h volume.
- Selling Yes at 88¢ converts to buying No at 12¢, a high-upside fade after Yes rose about 15.5 points this week.
$4,224 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet fades favorite
A new wallet made a meaningful contrarian $4.3k bet against the favorite on a quiet Denmark PM market, though it has no resolved track record yet.
- A 24-day-old wallet put $4.3k on No, taking the other side of a 74¢ favorite.
- The trades were more than 2x the market’s recent daily volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 27¢ implies a roughly 3.7x payout if Mette Frederiksen is not the next appointed PM.
$4,272 on No
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with 1,045 resolved trades is buying Yes into recent momentum, though the bet size is modest.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,045 resolved trades and is up $294K lifetime.
- They have traded across 47 events and $1.18M of similar cross-market positions.
- Bought Yes at 69¢ as the market moved up 8 points today.
$1,035 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
81% win-rate political sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate and +$327k P&L bought Yes at 64¢ on a politically meaningful market.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $327k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with $2.3M in total betting volume.
- Entry at 64¢ is already ahead of the current 68–69¢ market, suggesting early momentum.
$3,158 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced cross-market trader with a 71% resolved win rate and $463k profit is fading Yes on a Danish PM market after a steep weekly price drop.
- This bettor has won 71% of 363 resolved trades and is up $463k lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.7M deployed across 84 events.
- Selling Yes at 57¢ converts to buying No at 43¢, aligning with the market’s sharp 34.5% weekly move against Yes.
$5,074 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial political trader
Serial cross-market trader with a strong 71% record and $463k profit is taking a $15.2k bearish position against Frederiksen despite an active, liquid market.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $463k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 84 events with $2.7M in tracked volume.
- Selling Yes at 57¢ converts to buying No at 43¢, against a market that has already fallen 35% this week.
$15,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial political trader
Serial cross-market political trader with a strong 71% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is fading Frederiksen after a sharp weekly odds drop.
- This bettor has won 71% of 363 resolved trades and is up about $463k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 84 events with $2.7M in detected activity.
- Selling Yes at 59¢ converts to buying No at 41¢, after the market has already moved sharply against Yes this week.
$5,085 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Serial cross-market fade
Serial cross-market trader with a 72% resolved win rate is fading Frederiksen after a sharp weekly price drop, though lifetime P&L is negative and the trade size is modest.
- This wallet has traded 60 markets across 47 events and wins 72% of resolved bets.
- They are fading Yes after a 33-point weekly drop, suggesting continued downside momentum.
- Selling Yes at 63¢ converts to buying No at 37¢, versus the market now around 40¢.
$2,793 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial trader fading Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is fading Mette Frederiksen after a sharp weekly move against Yes.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up about $463k lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events with $2.7M total volume, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
- Selling Yes at 66¢ is equivalent to buying No at 34¢, alongside a 27.5-point weekly drop in Yes odds.
$3,361 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
A wallet from a 16-wallet funded cluster sold No at 22¢ on Denmark PM and comes with a sizable multi-market track record, making this a credible directional political bet worth watching.
- 16 linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting one larger bettor is deploying capital across accounts
- This wallet has traded 40 markets across 34 events and is up $54k with a 63% win rate
- They sold No at 22¢, which is effectively a bet on Mette Frederiksen, and the market has already moved to 14¢ No
$15,361 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 98370392, $144,722
- 0xc41a...92d3 — Outcome 98370392, $15,090
- 0xc8cb...9254 — Outcome 98370392, $5,978
- 0xf3e0...173b — Outcome 98370392, $4,097
- 0xd2a4...3ee9 — Outcome 48415598, $3,000
- 0x535e...5d4b — Outcome 98370392, $2,800
- 0xcc2e...2358 — Outcome 98370392, $2,679
- 0x414b...0d3f — Outcome 98370392, $2,536 (65% win rate)
- 0x31c5...ede4 — Outcome 98370392, $2,500 (85% win rate)
- 0x04c3...4101 — Outcome 98370392, $2,398
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