Part of: Peru Presidential Election Winner
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $219,333.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, World Elections, Elections, Peru, Peru Election, Main Election, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
78% winner buys favorite
A proven profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate and nearly $295k lifetime profit is making a high-conviction $17.7k BUY Yes at 90¢ alongside broader cross-market positioning.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $294k lifetime.
- They bought $17.7k of Yes at 90¢, showing strong conviction even at favorite pricing.
- The wallet has $54.9k positioned across related Peru election markets.
$17,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable election trader fading favorite
Profitable high-volume wallet is taking a contrarian No position while deploying $158k across related Peruvian election markets.
- This bettor is up about $1.0M lifetime across more than $24M traded.
- They have $158k positioned across 3 related election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Buying No at 8¢ fades a sharp move toward Yes after the market rose 14 points in a day.
$4,203 on No | Wallet win rate: 45%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader added $21k to Yes after a major momentum move in a liquid Peru election market.
- This bettor is up $950k lifetime across $61M traded.
- They have traded 152 markets across 105 events, suggesting a repeat cross-market strategy.
- Bought $21k of Yes at 87¢ after the market surged 56 points today.
$21,296 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
89% winner fading favorite
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is fading the 86¢ favorite after a sharp rally.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $207K lifetime.
- They have traded across 101 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Yes at 86¢ converts to buying No at 14¢ after Yes jumped 16 points in 24 hours.
$1,511 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Linked cluster buying momentum
High composite score driven by a recurring 3-wallet funded cluster buying into a major volume spike and upward momentum, with the wallet showing early profitable history.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder and have been flagged together in prior runs.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 41x above normal and the price up 7 points in 24 hours.
- This wallet is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $13.9k, though the track record is still early.
$5,220 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
75% winner buying frontrunner
Surface because a profitable 75% winner is buying into a major election market during a large volume surge and strong upward momentum.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $6.9K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 89¢ as the market jumped 10.5 points in a day.
- Volume is 72x above normal, suggesting fresh attention behind the move.
$1,261 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable cross-market specialist
Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding Yes exposure at 89¢ amid a 33x volume spike and strong price momentum in a major election market.
- This bettor has won 68% of 683 resolved trades and is up about $293k lifetime.
- They have $62.9k positioned across 3 markets in this election event, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Market volume is 33x above normal and Yes is up 9 points today, matching the direction of the trade.
$3,762 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
97% winner buying favorite
Surface due to the wallet’s 97% resolved win record and positive P&L, despite the modest $2k size in a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved bets and is up $911 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 90¢ after the market jumped 32.5 percentage points in the last day.
- The trade follows strong momentum in a high-volume election market.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
80% win-rate election trader
A proven 80% win-rate wallet with $419k profit is adding a Yes bet as part of a much larger cross-market Peru election position.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $419k lifetime.
- They have traded 99 markets across 56 events, with $2.5M in total activity.
- This is part of a broader 7-market Peru election position totaling $288k.
$3,584 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% winner backs frontrunner
Sharp 80% winning cross-market trader is buying Yes during a major volume and price surge, with substantial related positioning across the Peru election event.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $423,500 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $294,324 positioned across 7 related markets in this event.
- The market is moving with them: volume is 25.5x normal and Yes is up 28.5 points in the past day.
$2,310 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $3,951,697
- 0x2d1e...b4a2 — No, $45,879 (0% win rate)
- 0xc4b2...9a9b — No, $26,476 (87% win rate)
- 0xf8ad...01b4 — No, $15,932
- 0xdb97...3f3a — No, $13,666
- 0x1d51...4edc — No, $12,892
- 0xf170...fcc5 — No, $12,799
- 0x5730...5cff — No, $12,638
- 0x3a4b...1475 — No, $11,273
- 0xafba...e61b — No, $11,261 (70% win rate)
Related Theses
Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency
Covers 2 related markets
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
Peru elects right-wing president
Covers 3 related markets
