Part of: Berlin State Election Winner

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,026.

Categories: Global Elections, Politics, Elections, Germany, World Elections, World, German Elections, Main Election

Notable Trades

92% winner backs Berlin Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $16.8K purchase of Yes at 64¢ while positioning across three Berlin-election markets.

This bettor has won 92% of 386 resolved positions and earned $1.6M in profit.
They placed a fresh $16,752 bet on Yes at 64¢, representing meaningful conviction in Linke winning the most seats.
The wallet is also active across three markets in this Berlin election event, reinforcing a broader thesis.

$11,623 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A proven sharp bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Yes position on a market already moving upward.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $38,661 across 38 positions.
They bought another $1,364 of Yes at 57¢ while already holding a sizable Yes position.
Yes has risen 12% over the past week, reinforcing the bettor’s direction.

$2,136 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

92% winner backs Berlin Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $16.8K purchase of Yes at 64¢ while positioning across three Berlin-election markets.

This bettor has won 92% of 386 resolved positions and earned $1.6M in profit.
They placed a fresh $16,752 bet on Yes at 64¢, representing meaningful conviction in Linke winning the most seats.
The wallet is also active across three markets in this Berlin election event, reinforcing a broader thesis.

$9,138 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner backs Berlin Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $16.8K purchase of Yes at 64¢ while positioning across three Berlin-election markets.

This bettor has won 92% of 386 resolved positions and earned $1.6M in profit.
They placed a fresh $16,752 bet on Yes at 64¢, representing meaningful conviction in Linke winning the most seats.
The wallet is also active across three markets in this Berlin election event, reinforcing a broader thesis.

$16,752 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A proven sharp bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Yes position on a market already moving upward.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $38,661 across 38 positions.
They bought another $1,364 of Yes at 57¢ while already holding a sizable Yes position.
Yes has risen 12% over the past week, reinforcing the bettor’s direction.

$1,364 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Proven serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate made a fresh $2,584 purchase at 48¢ in a relatively thin Berlin election market.

This bettor has won 83% of 273 resolved trades and earned about $1.47 million.
They placed a concentrated $2,584 bet at 48¢, representing roughly 240% of recent 24-hour market volume.
The wallet has traded across 114 markets and 86 events, suggesting broad experience rather than a one-off position.

$2,584 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable whale buying NO

A profitable high-volume wallet put $9.4k on No in a relatively quiet political market, and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.

This bettor is up about $629k lifetime across 3,972 resolved markets.
They put $9.4k on No, a large trade for this quiet market.
No has moved from their ~81¢ entry to 92¢, so the trade has already been validated by price action.

$9,428 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%