US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,113.
Categories: Iran, Kushner, Geopolitics, Politics, Trump, Khamenei, Witkoff, Iran Ceasefire
Notable Trades
80% win-rate geopolitical trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate bought into the bullish side of a geopolitically meaningful market during a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 157 markets and has traded $1.69M across 97 events
- They effectively bought Yes at 10¢ by selling No at 90¢ in a market that is seeing a 74.5x volume spike
- A $28.6k position is meaningful even in a liquid market, and the topic is one where broad event-trading experience can matter
$28,613 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
95% hit-rate geopolitics bettor
A very high-hit-rate wallet with nearly 1,000 resolved bets is adding a cross-market geopolitical position despite weak standalone trade size, making this worth watching mainly for the trader’s track record.
- This bettor wins 95% of 968 resolved trades, a rare hit rate worth tracking.
- They bet across 2 related markets in the same event with $11.5k total, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off click.
- They bought No at 77¢ after a fast move toward No, signaling conviction that no official meeting happens by the deadline.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfd1a...76b4 — Outcome 46060332, $212,837
- 0xdc63...427a — Outcome 46060332, $152,496 (88% win rate)
- 0x2282...1051 — Outcome 46060332, $82,774
- 0x83c3...38c5 — Outcome 46060332, $70,331
- 0xcc26...32ca — Outcome 46060332, $53,018 (31% win rate)
- 0xe598...a0a8 — Outcome 46060332, $46,119 (91% win rate)
- 0x5602...1480 — Outcome 46060332, $23,266 (63% win rate)
- 0x962b...5200 — Outcome 46060332, $23,000
- 0xc6d7...0278 — Outcome 46060332, $16,667
- 0x09bc...9ffc — Outcome 46060332, $16,000
