Part of: Presidential Election Winner 2028
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
This prediction market asks whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will win the 2028 US Presidential Election, scheduled for November 7, 2028. PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including activity from a whale with an early edge and a sharp bettor buying long-shot YES exposure. The market resolves when AP, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or by inauguration if needed.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,402.
Categories: World Elections, Global Elections, US Election, Elections, Politics, Earn 4%, President, United States, Main Election
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying long-shot YES
A proven sharp wallet with an 89% resolved-bet win rate and +$66k lifetime P&L bought AOC 2028 Yes at 6¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $66k lifetime.
- They bought AOC 2028 Yes at 6¢, a long-shot price with large upside if their political read is right.
- The wallet has 238 resolved positions, so the track record is much stronger than a one-off bet.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
New whale with early edge
A 3-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and an early perfect record is taking another meaningful swing on a long-shot political market, which is notable despite the liquid market context.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made 8 resolved bets and won all 8 of them.
- It has been flagged 3 times for large early bets, with $5.3k deployed and a small profit already booked.
- Bought AOC at 6¢, a cheap long-shot entry that suggests fresh conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
$1,403 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,429,437
- 0xde7c...c933 — Yes, $180,184 (33% win rate)
- 0x9e56...4199 — Yes, $176,962
- 0x9764...c131 — Yes, $159,191
- 0x5663...63c1 — Yes, $155,298
- 0x8628...6f0b — Yes, $150,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xb1a2...372a — Yes, $131,273 (73% win rate)
- 0xfecf...abd4 — Yes, $119,371
- 0x2fe1...b7e5 — Yes, $95,287
- 0x0c26...d223 — Yes, $85,000
