Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $184,871.
Categories: Politics, World Elections, Global Elections, Elections, Hungary Election, Hungary
Notable Trades
98% win-rate political bettor
A serial cross-market trader with a 98% win rate bought into a fast-rising Hungarian election market, making this worth tracking despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved markets with 172 wins in 175 and has traded $3.6M across 178 markets.
- They bought Yes at 89¢ while this market has surged 17 points in a day, showing they are still willing to pay up for this outcome.
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp trader following a thesis than a random punt in a thin market.
$4,450 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
97% win-rate political bettor
A serial cross-market political trader with a 97% win rate put $6.8k into TISZA Yes despite already rich pricing, making this wallet worth tracking even though the single-trade signal is modest.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades with 185 wins and 191 total settled bets.
- They have traded 202 markets across 151 events for over $1.5M, which makes this a proven repeat operator rather than a random whale.
- They bought TISZA Yes around 90¢, signaling confidence even after the market had already rallied hard.
$6,756 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% win-rate political trader
A serial cross-market political trader with a 97% win rate is buying into strong momentum on a major Hungary election market, making this worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades with $65k profit across 191 settled positions.
- They trade heavily across related events — 150 events and 201 markets suggest a repeatable edge, not a one-off bet.
- They bought at 90¢ while this market is already surging, up 15 points in a day and nearly 20 points in a week.
$2,937 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
3-wallet contrarian cluster
Three wallets piled into the same anti-TISZA position for nearly $9.6k while the market is surging toward 84%, a notable coordinated contrarian bet despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets all bet against TISZA at about 16¢, putting nearly $9.6k on the same side within minutes.
- The market has jumped 10.5 points in a day and 15 points in a week, so this is a clear bet against strong recent momentum.
- One wallet is a repeat large new account with over $9.3k in flagged bets, adding conviction even though the cluster's past win rates are mixed.
$9,570 on No
New wallet backing TISZA
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets on this Hungarian election event and just bought TISZA at 85¢ into a strong upward move, which is notable despite lacking a proven track record.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old and has already made 4 flagged bets totaling $11.6k
- The bettor is building across 2 related Hungary election markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade
- They bought at 85¢ while the market is up 10.5 points in a day, showing willingness to pay up for conviction
$1,818 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
98% win-rate political bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 98% win rate bought TISZA Yes at 86¢ in an active political market that has already been moving sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades, with 172 wins and nearly $59k in profit
- They have traded 178 markets across 134 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought TISZA Yes at 86¢ while the market is already up 10.5 points in a day, reinforcing the bullish move
$4,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
85% winner fading favorite
A highly profitable political trader from a 12-wallet funded cluster sold the favorite at 85¢, which translates into a buyable No position at 15¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.26M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets.
- This wallet is part of a 12-wallet funded cluster that has already deployed $25k together, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- The trade sold Yes at 85¢, which equals buying No at 15¢ while the market has already surged 11 points in a day.
$1,689 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 6-day-old wallet has repeatedly made large bets across the platform and just put $5,000 into a liquid politics market despite no resolved history yet, which is notable enough to monitor as a high-conviction new bettor.
- A 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts, with $51.8k flagged in total
- This is a fresh $5,000 buy in a major politics market, showing clear conviction rather than routine trading
- They paid 84¢ while the market is now 82¢, so copying only makes sense on a pullback near the trader's entry
$5,000 on Yes
98% win-rate political bettor
A serial cross-market trader with a 98% win rate just bought Yes in a major Hungary election market, making this a track-record-driven signal worth surfacing despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades with 172 wins and only 3 losses
- They have placed $3.6M across 178 markets, so this looks like a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Yes at 84¢ in a fast-rising election market that is up 14.5 points over the past week
$2,990 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
85% winner in 12-wallet cluster
A highly profitable serial political trader with an 85% win rate is buying into a rising election market, and the wallet is part of a 12-wallet funded cluster that has deployed over $9k on this event.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.26M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets
- 12 wallets funded by the same source have put about $9.1k into this event, which points to coordinated conviction
- They bought Yes at 78¢ in a market that has already climbed 12 points in a week and now trades around 80¢
$1,550 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11115278, $1,536,000
- 0xca76...28b3 — Outcome 11115278, $582,026 (76% win rate)
- 0xe349...db20 — Outcome 61963573, $62,064
- 0x8c76...06ac — Outcome 61963573, $55,411 (82% win rate)
- 0x93bf...451c — Outcome 11115278, $51,428 (25% win rate)
- 0xd6db...aca3 — Outcome 11115278, $43,921
- 0xdf04...73ec — Outcome 11115278, $33,697
- 0x7f9b...1743 — Outcome 11115278, $32,668 (61% win rate)
- 0x7bb2...682c — Outcome 61963573, $25,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x4e26...4355 — Outcome 61963573, $24,204
