Part of: Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $140,159.

Categories: Iran, Israel, Politics, Geopolitics, Israel x Iran, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet buying YES

A 4-day-old repeat large bettor with early positive P&L is buying the long-shot Yes side on a geopolitical airspace-closure market.

  • This 4-day-old wallet is already up $7.6k and has triggered repeat large-bet alerts across $32.7k of activity.
  • They bought Yes at 7¢ on a geopolitical market where informed timing could matter.
  • The position is already marked higher at 9¢, suggesting early momentum after entry.

$1,459 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

88% cross-market sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is buying No after a sharp Yes move in a geopolitical airspace market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $698K lifetime.
  • They have traded 41 events and 77 related markets, suggesting a strong cross-market process.
  • They are buying No at 72¢ after Yes jumped nearly 20 points today.

$1,605 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% cross-market sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is buying No after a sharp Yes move in a geopolitical airspace market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $698K lifetime.
  • They have traded 41 events and 77 related markets, suggesting a strong cross-market process.
  • They are buying No at 72¢ after Yes jumped nearly 20 points today.

$1,680 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

93% winner fading spike

Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate is fading the recent Yes spike by selling Yes, implying a No position on Israel airspace closure.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 252 resolved bets and is up $88,435 lifetime.
  • They are effectively buying No at 67¢ after Yes jumped 27 points in the past day.
  • This is part of a broader 3-market event thesis totaling $23,284 across runs.

$1,182 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

80% winner cross-market bettor

Sharp wallet with 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No while also positioning across related Israel-airspace markets.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $99K lifetime.
  • They have positioned across 3 related markets, putting about $4.1K behind the same event thesis.
  • The market has moved toward Yes recently, but this sharp wallet is fading it by buying No at 81¢.

$1,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp cross-market bettor

Sharp 88% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying No as part of a broader cross-market Israel airspace thesis.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $288K lifetime.
  • They have traded 56 markets across 25 events, with $1.23M in cross-market volume.
  • This is part of a 4-market thesis, and the No side already has strong momentum at around 90¢ entry.

$1,209 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable cross-market sharp

Profitable 80% lifetime wallet is taking a cross-market No position, making the trader track record the main reason to surface despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $93k lifetime.
  • They have positioned across 3 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying No at 86¢ follows a sharp move against Yes over the past day.

$1,460 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 77% lifetime bettor is adding a cross-market No position, making the wallet track record the main signal despite a modest single trade size.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 115 resolved bets and is up about $29.9k lifetime.
  • They have put $15.8k across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • The market has moved sharply toward No in the last day, and this buy adds to that momentum.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

87% cross-market sharp

A proven 87% winner with $485k lifetime profit is adding a No position as part of a larger cross-market thesis on this event.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $485k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.6M deployed across 59 related markets.
  • This No buy fits a broader $39k thesis across 3 markets in the same event.

$1,518 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

87% winner cross-market thesis

Surface because a highly profitable 87% win-rate wallet is buying No as part of a larger $40k cross-market thesis.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $485k lifetime.
  • They have positioned across 3 related markets with about $40k total exposure.
  • They bought No at 77¢ while the market is now 80¢, suggesting early confirmation.

$1,128 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xae7c...487e Outcome 75342601, $52,779 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x7079...155d Outcome 75342601, $32,112 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x8c77...4d42 Outcome 75342601, $31,996 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 75342601, $28,350 (69% win rate)
  5. 0xe555...a91d Outcome 75342601, $19,959 (19% win rate)
  6. 0x4354...89a9 Outcome 75342601, $17,740
  7. 0x34ab...3eb5 Outcome 75342601, $10,944 (36% win rate)
  8. 0x14f7...232c Outcome 75342601, $8,279 (34% win rate)
  9. 0xcf7d...a286 Outcome 75342601, $8,001
  10. 0x1c5d...63ed Outcome 75342601, $7,181 (41% win rate)

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Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

ResolvedIsrael closes its airspace by...?$140,159 tracked50 signalsIranIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x IranRewards 50, 4.5, 20

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

31d ago

$1,459 on Yes at 7¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

34d ago

$1,605 on No at 72¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

34d ago

$1,680 on No at 72¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

34d ago

$1,182 on No at 67¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

34d ago

$1,300 on No at 81¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

36d ago

$1,209 on No at 90¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

37d ago

$1,460 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

37d ago

$3,000 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

37d ago

$1,518 on No at 84¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

37d ago

$1,128 on No at 77¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

37d ago

$1,565 on No at 80¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

37d ago

$1,383 on No at 68¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

38d ago

$2,000 on No at 70¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

38d ago

$1,940 on No at 71¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

38d ago

$1,390 on Yes at 45¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

38d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 41¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

39d ago

$1,789 on Yes at 28¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

40d ago

$1,796 on No at 77¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

40d ago

$1,786 on No at 80¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

40d ago

$1,221 on No at 78¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

40d ago

$1,226 on No at 75¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

40d ago

$2,175 on No at 72¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

40d ago

$2,000 on No at 70¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$9,632 on Yes at 60¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$1,935 on No at 43¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$2,280 on No at 43¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$1,052 on Yes at 65¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$8,018 on No at 64¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

40d ago

$6,027 on No at 47¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$3,178 on Yes at 49¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$16,332 on Yes at 65¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

41d ago

$1,104 on Yes at 15¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

42d ago

$8,398 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

43d ago

$6,529 on No at 88¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

44d ago

$1,200 on Yes at 17¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

44d ago

$1,387 on No at 89¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

45d ago

$2,911 on No at 88¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

45d ago

$1,917 on No at 88¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

45d ago

$1,154 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

45d ago

$3,706 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

45d ago

$4,600 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

45d ago

$1,838 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

45d ago

$4,935 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

46d ago

$2,580 on Yes at 14¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

46d ago

$2,000 on No at 87¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

47d ago

$1,023 on No at 86¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

47d ago

$1,012 on No at 85¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

47d ago

$1,981 on No at 84¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

47d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 20¢

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

47d ago

$1,620 on No at 81¢

Related Theses