Part of: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,305.
Categories: Israel Election, Geopolitics, Iran, Israel, Israel x Iran
Notable Trades
94% winner scales into coordinated Yes
A highly profitable 94% win-rate trader added to Yes alongside a 19-wallet funded cluster and major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 94% of 250 resolved trades and earned $174,458 in profit.
- Nineteen linked wallets share the same funder, while market volume surged 112x its historical average.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 70%, implying strong conviction despite the current price near 67%.
$1,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven event trader buys Yes
A proven high-volume trader with a 75% win rate and substantial edge is buying Yes amid a major event-level volume surge and broad cross-market positioning.
- This bettor wins 75% of 345 resolved trades and is up $694,207 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 78¢ while positioning across six markets tied to the same Israel-Iran event.
- The market saw a 48.1x historical volume spike, with Yes recently rising to 81%.
$2,340 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
94% winner scales into coordinated Yes
A highly profitable 94% win-rate trader added to Yes alongside a 19-wallet funded cluster and major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 94% of 250 resolved trades and earned $174,458 in profit.
- Nineteen linked wallets share the same funder, while market volume surged 112x its historical average.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 70%, implying strong conviction despite the current price near 67%.
$2,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Serial trader scaling into ceasefire
An established serial trader placed an $8.9k Yes bet amid a 112x volume spike and coordinated positioning across three related markets.
- This bettor has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $760,000 in lifetime profit.
- The $8,876 Yes bet represents about 30% of market liquidity and came during a 112x historical volume spike.
- The trader has positioned across three related markets in this event, totaling $15,040 in exposure.
$8,876 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
94% bettor leads coordinated Yes buying
A proven 94% bettor and two linked-wallet networks are adding roughly $8,200 to Yes at 68–71%, creating a strong coordinated conviction signal.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $170,386, with a meaningful edge over the odds paid.
- Three wallets added $8,178 to Yes at 68–71%, while linked funding networks show broader positioning on the same thesis.
- The sharp wallet is adding to an existing Yes position rather than merely taking profits, reinforcing the conviction.
$23,489 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x9592...a7b8 — Outcome 10015547, $73,542 (73% win rate)
- 0xe36f...cd91 — Outcome 10015547, $29,872 (87% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 10015547, $27,782 (67% win rate)
- 0xff34...bf20 — Outcome 10015547, $20,074
- 0xaacb...90cb — Outcome 10015547, $10,781 (70% win rate)
- 0x758c...074a — Outcome 10015547, $10,224 (14% win rate)
- 0xbc73...2c0e — Outcome 10015547, $9,480
- 0x74ff...fcd9 — Outcome 10015547, $8,395
- 0x8c2f...1a88 — Outcome 10015547, $7,594 (55% win rate)
- 0x4737...a54a — Outcome 10015547, $5,361 (57% win rate)
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