Part of: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,719.
Categories: Israel Election, Geopolitics, Iran, Israel, Israel x Iran
Notable Trades
Serial sharp scaling into Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with 79% wins and a substantial edge bought $1,719 of Yes at 82%.
- This bettor wins 79% of 297 resolved trades and is up $858,000 lifetime.
- The wallet’s results imply a 17-point edge over its average entry odds, making the 82¢ Yes purchase notable despite the high price.
- The trader has participated across 77 events and 205 markets, indicating broad, repeatable experience rather than a one-off bet.
$1,719 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x35bb...009b — Outcome 43233970, $66,839 (72% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 43233970, $25,484 (66% win rate)
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 43233970, $18,123 (57% win rate)
- 0x0d05...6a81 — Outcome 43233970, $15,855 (14% win rate)
- 0x48a5...47f5 — Outcome 43233970, $15,414 (75% win rate)
- 0xdbd0...8c1c — Outcome 43233970, $9,173 (29% win rate)
- 0xd5de...ac1a — Outcome 43233970, $6,172 (100% win rate)
- 0xbacd...ab35 — Outcome 43233970, $5,731 (48% win rate)
- 0x9116...fe64 — Outcome 43233970, $5,350
- 0xa9ac...c5d1 — Outcome 43233970, $5,110 (34% win rate)
Related Theses
Calendar arbitrage on talks
Covers 16 related markets
Crude oil market arbitrage
Covers 11 related markets
WTI stays between $90 and $105
Covers 5 related markets
Hormuz blockade persists
Covers 9 related markets
Iran peace deal won’t happen
Covers 12 related markets
Iran closes airspace mid-May
Covers 8 related markets
Iran deal by mid-June
Covers 13 related markets
Iran surrenders uranium in May
Covers 4 related markets
