Part of: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
38 smart money signals detected, totaling $250,880.
Categories: Israel Election, Geopolitics, Iran, Israel, Israel x Iran
Notable Trades
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$1,767 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$8,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$2,854 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$4,492 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster scaling into Yes
Six linked wallets and a serial cross-market trader are adding to a Yes position across five related markets, creating a meaningful coordinated ceasefire thesis despite only moderate historical edge.
- Six wallets sharing a funder deployed $4,176 toward Yes, signaling coordinated conviction.
- This trader is adding to an existing $13,860 Yes position while positioning across five markets in the same event.
- The wallet has won 69% of 102 resolved bets and has traded 32 events, though its average winning entry price is high at 92%.
$7,508 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$1,363 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$2,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$2,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$2,088 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet cluster backing No
Six wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, while this repeat trader is adding to an existing position despite the market pricing No at only 30%.
- Six wallets sharing a funder are positioning around the same ceasefire market, a strong coordinated signal.
- This trader has 81 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $57,712 in reported profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 30¢, implying meaningful downside risk to the ceasefire continuation.
$1,584 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 86567202, $113,406 (71% win rate)
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 86567202, $82,187 (52% win rate)
- 0x0d05...6a81 — Outcome 86567202, $25,000 (14% win rate)
- 0xd244...7f3d — Outcome 86567202, $23,442
- 0xaacb...90cb — Outcome 86567202, $22,009 (70% win rate)
- 0xbbe3...5b92 — Outcome 86567202, $20,000
- 0xc3db...0f98 — Outcome 86567202, $17,777 (47% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 86567202, $11,540 (76% win rate)
- 0xa284...49ed — Outcome 86567202, $10,707
- 0xbacd...ab35 — Outcome 86567202, $10,118 (49% win rate)
Related Theses
WTI stays between $90 and $105
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Iran peace deal won’t happen
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Iran deal by mid-June
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Iran closes airspace mid-May
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Iran deal by mid-June
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World Cup favorites prevail
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Hormuz blockade persists
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Calendar arbitrage on talks
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