What is the Pezeshkian out by June 30 prediction market about?

The market predicts whether Masoud Pezeshkian will stop being President of Iran for any period of time before the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline.

When does this Polymarket resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve based on conditions up to June 30, 2026. If an official resignation or removal is announced before then, it can resolve “Yes” immediately.

What would make the market resolve Yes?

It resolves “Yes” if Pezeshkian resigns, is removed from office, is detained or effectively unable to serve, or an announcement confirms his resignation or removal before the deadline.

What would make the market resolve No?

It resolves “No” if Masoud Pezeshkian remains President of Iran through the specified end date and no qualifying resignation, removal, or effective loss of office occurs.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $3,524 in smart money exposure and 2 smart money signals for this market, including recent sharp fading spike alerts.

Part of: Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

This prediction market asks whether Masoud Pezeshkian will cease to be President of Iran at any point before June 30, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, is effectively unable to serve, or an official resignation/removal is announced before the deadline; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $3,524 in smart money activity and 2 recent sharp signals for this Iran politics market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,524.

Categories: Geopolitics, World, Middle East, Iran, Politics

Notable Trades

82% sharp fading spike

Sharp 82% winner with $531k lifetime profit is buying No against a sharp Yes price spike, backed by a long cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $531k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with $2.3M in tracked volume.
Buying No at 74¢ fades a 30-point Yes rally, suggesting they think the move is overdone.

$1,320 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable sharp fading spike

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate and $531k profit is fading the recent spike by buying No.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $531k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 50 events with over $2.3M in similar activity.
Buying No at 73¢ fades a sharp Yes rally after the market moved about 26 points in a day.

$2,204 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%