Part of: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,075.
Categories: Middle East, Israel, Iran, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
98% winner buys NO
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No at 84¢ while also positioning across a related market.
- This bettor has won 49 of 50 resolved trades and is up $44.7k lifetime.
- They put $3.7k on No at 84¢, adding to a $15.7k cross-market thesis.
- The market has moved toward No recently, with Yes down 14 points over the past week.
$1,571 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
98% winner buys NO
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No at 84¢ while also positioning across a related market.
- This bettor has won 49 of 50 resolved trades and is up $44.7k lifetime.
- They put $3.7k on No at 84¢, adding to a $15.7k cross-market thesis.
- The market has moved toward No recently, with Yes down 14 points over the past week.
$3,744 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $817k lifetime.
- They have put $5.2k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 74¢ implies a steady but still copyable position on No.
$1,275 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
94% winner funded cluster
A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet from a 17-wallet funded cluster is buying No on a news-sensitive politics market with recent price momentum in the same direction.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $77.5K lifetime.
- 17 wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this direction.
- They bought No at 87¢ as Yes has fallen 16.5 points in the past day.
$1,754 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $817k lifetime.
- They have put $5.2k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 74¢ implies a steady but still copyable position on No.
$2,219 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable new repeat bettor
New 22-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing large bets, already profitable, and bought $3,000 of Yes on a politically information-sensitive market.
- This 22-day-old wallet has already made 8 flagged large bets totaling $30.3K.
- The bettor is up $1.8K so far and has won all 4 resolved positions.
- They bought Yes at 30¢ after the market moved up 7 points in the last day.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $817k lifetime.
- They have put $5.2k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 74¢ implies a steady but still copyable position on No.
$6,080 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $817k lifetime.
- They have put $5.2k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 74¢ implies a steady but still copyable position on No.
$2,250 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $817k lifetime.
- They have put $5.2k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 74¢ implies a steady but still copyable position on No.
$1,702 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $817k lifetime.
- They have put $5.2k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 74¢ implies a steady but still copyable position on No.
$1,480 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x1e1f...c855 — Outcome 74605887, $12,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x9175...6acf — Outcome 74605887, $9,937 (100% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 74605887, $8,151 (73% win rate)
- 0xb9d4...9002 — Outcome 74605887, $6,308 (52% win rate)
- 0x0484...e0ee — Outcome 74605887, $5,351 (61% win rate)
- 0xfd66...fb6d — Outcome 74605887, $4,000 (20% win rate)
- 0x6b22...74ec — Outcome 74605887, $3,140
- 0xbacd...ab35 — Outcome 74605887, $2,910 (49% win rate)
- 0xd087...1b86 — Outcome 74605887, $2,400
- 0xa0bc...d428 — Outcome 74605887, $2,143
Related Theses
World Cup favorites prevail
Covers 4 related markets
Hormuz blockade persists
Covers 9 related markets
Iranian blockade persists through August
Covers 7 related markets
Iran deal by mid-June
Covers 13 related markets
Iran peace deal won’t happen
Covers 12 related markets
WTI stays between $90 and $105
Covers 5 related markets
Iran closes airspace mid-May
Covers 8 related markets
Calendar arbitrage on talks
Covers 16 related markets
