What does this Mojtaba Khamenei prediction market resolve on?

The market resolves to “Yes” if authentic photos or video of Mojtaba Khamenei are taken and released during the market’s timeframe by the listed date. If no qualifying media appears, it resolves to “No.”

Do old photos or previously recorded videos count?

No. Archival footage, reused images, previously recorded media, AI-generated content, digitally altered content, or staged reproductions do not count for a “Yes” resolution.

When does the Mojtaba Khamenei public sighting market resolve?

The listed resolution date is July 31, 2026. The market is based on whether qualifying media is captured and released before the deadline specified in the rules.

Why are traders watching this market?

Mojtaba Khamenei is a closely watched figure in Iranian politics, so any verified public appearance could be geopolitically significant. Prediction market odds can reflect how traders price the likelihood of a confirmed sighting before the deadline.

What smart-money activity is tracked for this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $3,000 in smart-money exposure and 1 smart-money signal for this market, including activity from sharp cross-market and repeat bettors.

Part of: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

This prediction market tracks whether Mojtaba Khamenei will be photographed or videotaped in public within the market timeframe, with only authentic newly captured and released media counting for a “Yes” outcome. The market resolves on July 31, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking live Polymarket odds plus $3,000 in smart-money activity across 1 signal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,512.

Categories: Middle East, Israel, Iran, Geopolitics