Part of: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,162.
Categories: Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
87% win-rate event trader
Profitable wallet with an 87% win rate is building a repeated cross-market thesis on this event, making this small pullback entry worth watching despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $127.6k overall.
- They've put $68.8k across 5 related markets in the same event, which points to a deliberate thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes at 37¢ and the market now sits at 32¢, offering a cheaper follow entry if that thesis is right.
$1,740 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% win-rate event bettor
Profitable high-win-rate wallet is building a broader US-Iran event thesis across 5 related markets with meaningful size, which makes this worth surfacing despite mixed entry prices on this market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $128k lifetime.
- They placed $47k across 5 related US-Iran markets, suggesting a coordinated event thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes as low as 37¢, close to the current 40¢ price, giving a reasonable copy level.
$6,811 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
74% win-rate event trader
A profitable serial event trader with a 74% win rate is taking a cross-market thesis on US-Iran, buying No at 44¢ while this event complex is seeing heavy activity and a sharp price move.
- This bettor has won 239 of 324 resolved trades and is up $215k lifetime
- They have traded 113 markets across 73 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 44¢ while this market has surged 49.5 points in a day, signaling a clear contrarian view within a fast-moving event
$3,121 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
87% win-rate event trader
Profitable wallet with an 87% win rate is building a broader 5-market thesis around this event, making this a credible cross-market signal despite the modest single trade size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $128k overall
- They have put $62.5k across 5 related markets in the same event, pointing to a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Yes around 68¢ in a fast-moving politics market that jumped 56 points in a day
$3,406 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% win-rate event bettor
Profitable cross-market trader with an 87% win rate is building a fresh $8.9k Yes position across this Iran diplomacy event while the market is moving hard higher.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $128k overall
- They put $68k across 5 related markets in this same event, showing a clear thesis rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Yes between 63¢ and 68¢ while the market jumped nearly 60 points in a day
$8,896 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% winner, event thesis
Profitable high-hit-rate wallet is building a repeated cross-market thesis on the same event, putting $5.5k into Yes even after a sharp repricing.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $127.6k lifetime.
- They have put $64.6k across 5 related markets in this same event, showing a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes at 63-67¢ after this market jumped 53 points in a day, signaling conviction even after the move.
$5,491 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% winner pressing thesis
Profitable high-hit-rate wallet is making a concentrated $20k cross-market geopolitical bet, though this specific leg was bought above the current price after a sharp move.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $128k realized
- They put about $25k across 5 related US-Iran markets, showing a coordinated event-level view
- This market already jumped 48.5 points in a day, but their buys came at 60-68¢ while it now trades near 57¢
$20,013 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% win-rate event bettor
Profitable cross-market trader with an 87% hit rate bought into a major geopolitics market as part of a broader $54k event thesis, making this worth tracking despite the market already moving lower since entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $128k lifetime.
- They have put $54k across 5 related US-Iran markets, which points to a coordinated event thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Yes at 74¢ in a fast-moving news market that has since dropped to 57¢, so only a much cheaper follow is attractive.
$5,094 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% winner, event thesis
Profitable cross-market trader with an 87% hit rate is making another event-level bet, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a random one-off.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $128k lifetime
- They have put $53k across 5 related US-Iran markets, which points to a deliberate event-level view
- This buy came at 69¢ before the market pulled back to 61¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original trade
$3,754 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% win-rate event trader
A profitable 87% win-rate wallet is making a fresh $9.2k Yes bet while building a broader 5-market thesis across the same event, which is worth following despite the market already moving sharply.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $128k overall.
- They have put $58.6k across 5 related markets in the same event, suggesting a strong broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes between 61¢ and 69¢, and one fill came below the current 64¢ market.
$9,225 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xa510...1f80 — Outcome 68334296, $44,192
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 68334296, $37,852 (69% win rate)
- 0x5c90...79f4 — Outcome 68334296, $34,576 (33% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 68334296, $20,041 (82% win rate)
- 0xc266...2f2f — Outcome 68334296, $18,635 (33% win rate)
- 0x134a...9e42 — Outcome 68334296, $15,875 (88% win rate)
- 0x1437...acfe — Outcome 68334296, $14,000
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 68334296, $9,115 (42% win rate)
- 0x67f9...d241 — Outcome 68334296, $8,382 (68% win rate)
- 0xa676...1c22 — Outcome 68334296, $6,000 (44% win rate)
