US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether representatives of the United States and Iran will hold an official diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026. It resolves to Yes only if authorized officials from both governments meet directly in an official capacity on US-Iran relations before the deadline; indirect contacts do not count. PolySpotter currently tracks limited smart money activity on this market, with $1,000 tracked across 1 signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,000.
Categories: Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
82% win-rate event specialist
A proven 82% win-rate trader with over $1.1M deployed across 60 related markets is adding a fresh Yes position in a thin geopolitics market that has already moved up after entry.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 260 bets and has put over $1.1M into similar event-driven markets
- They are a serial cross-market trader with positions across 29 events, which suggests a repeatable edge on news and diplomacy markets
- They bought Yes at 52¢ in a market with only $6.8k of 24-hour volume, and the price has already moved up to 58¢
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa9e6...1dc2 — Yes, $1,932 (82% win rate)
- 0x5145...324d — No, $683
- 0x7c3d...5c6b — Yes, $505 (44% win rate)
- 0x91ba...c285 — No, $500
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — No, $500 (85% win rate)
- 0x604a...d5f8 — Yes, $434
- 0xdf17...97d1 — Yes, $434 (51% win rate)
- 0x51ba...3ca5 — No, $340 (64% win rate)
- 0x9aeb...2729 — No, $331 (67% win rate)
- 0x0a6d...1d0a — No, $258
