Colombia Presidential Election
120 signals across 3 markets · $505,914 tracked · resolves Jun 21, 2026
The Colombia Presidential Election market tracks Polymarket odds for the 2026 race, including candidate outcomes such as Abelardo de la Espriella, Ivan Cepeda Castro, and Paloma Valencia. PolySpotter has flagged $31,150 in smart money activity across 19 signals, including moves from an 87% win-rate election bettor and sharp political cross-market traders.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 7-wallet pro-Cepeda cluster
Seven wallets are taking the same pro-Cepeda side with $13.6k in Yes-equivalent buys, including a repeat new-wallet large bettor, making this coordinated political flow worth surfacing despite mixed wallet records.
$13,580Score: 19.2 - 84% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved win rate and $323k profit is buying No on a major Colombia election market despite recent Yes momentum.
$8,703Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 13.0 - 84% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved win rate and $323k profit is buying No on a major Colombia election market despite recent Yes momentum.
$1,495Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 12.0 - 84% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved win rate and $323k profit is buying No on a major Colombia election market despite recent Yes momentum.
$2,128Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 12.0 - 84% winner buying NO
Sharp 84% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history is buying No on a major political market, and the price has already moved in their favor.
$3,623Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 12.0 - Profitable wallets fade favorite
Three profitable, active wallets are moving against the favorite in a major Colombian election market, with one serial cross-market trader and recent price momentum supporting the No side.
$5,016Score: 11.1 - Sharp election trader flips No
Sharp political bettor with an 86% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No after extensive cross-market positioning in the Colombian election.
$2,732Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0 - 87% win-rate event trader
A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate is expressing a broad event-level thesis across 16 related Colombia 2026 markets, and this trade is a fresh buy of No despite having previously closed the opposite side.
$1,320Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0 - 86% winner betting NO
Sharp 86% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history is buying No on Cepeda after positioning across 16 related Colombian election markets.
$2,320Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0 - Sharp political cross-market bettor
A highly profitable 75%-win-rate serial cross-market trader sold Yes at 40¢, which translates to buying No at 60¢ on a major political market.
$2,082Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0ced02…5452$72,172 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x2907d5…b27c$34,849 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$29,135 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 70% wins
- 0x3dca85…3c13$27,877 · 3 markets · 8 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x15dcf7…77c8$26,886 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x784fee…5df9$26,030 · 2 markets · 10 alerts · 86% wins
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$22,103 · 3 markets · 12 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$17,481 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x3e4a02…5c76$14,565 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x42d161…d745$14,289 · 1 market · 7 alerts · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the Colombia 2026 presidential election?
This event page tracks the live prediction-market odds across the listed Colombia presidential candidate markets, including Espriella, Cepeda Castro, and Valencia. Prices can change as traders react to polling, campaign news, and election developments.
Who is smart money betting on in the Colombia presidential election?
PolySpotter has tracked $31,150 in smart money activity across this event. Recent alerts include an 87% win-rate election specialist, an 87% win-rate event trader, and a sharp political cross-market bettor, giving context on where experienced traders are positioning.
What does it mean when an election bettor buys NO?
A NO buy means the trader is betting against a specific candidate winning the presidency. In this event, one recent alert highlighted an 87% win-rate election bettor buying NO, which may signal skepticism about that candidate’s chances.
When does the Colombia presidential election market resolve?
Colombia’s presidential election is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate wins more than 50% in the first round. The Polymarket event includes any runoff and is expected to resolve based on the official winner.
Does this page cover one candidate or the whole election?
This is an event hub for the Colombia Presidential Election, so it covers all listed child markets tied to the race rather than just one candidate. That makes it useful for comparing odds and smart money signals across multiple possible outcomes.