Part of: Peru Presidential Election Winner

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,675.

Categories: Politics, Global Elections, World Elections, Elections, Peru

Notable Trades

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

A proven high-volume bettor with an 83% win rate is making another oversized cross-market election bet, buying No at 88¢ after already trading this candidate market successfully.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $243k across $1.6M invested.
They trade heavily across election markets — 73 markets in 40 events — and put $6.6k into No here.
This order alone was bigger than the market's full 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a relatively quiet market.

$6,618 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

A proven 83% win-rate trader with large lifetime profit made a $21.6k bet on No across this Peru election market cluster, and the single trade was over 2.5x the market’s 24h volume.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $249k lifetime
They put $21.6k into No at 84¢, which was 258% of this market’s 24h volume
They trade across related election markets often: 39 events, 72 markets, and more than $1.5M deployed

$21,589 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

A proven high-volume wallet with an 83% win rate and nearly $250k profit made a sizable cross-market political bet, buying No at 84¢ across this election event.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $249k across $1.44M invested
They trade election markets repeatedly across 39 events and 70 markets, suggesting a real edge in politics
They bought No at 84¢ with a $4.5k order, over half of this market's 24-hour volume

$4,468 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 39116255, $3,951,697
0x24c8...23e1 — Outcome 96825180, $124,522 (40% win rate)
0x8575...87fe — Outcome 96825180, $69,693
0xe372...eb38 — Outcome 96825180, $63,824
0x52bc...4e1c — Outcome 96825180, $60,000
0xc01f...cd8e — Outcome 96825180, $51,095 (56% win rate)
0xcd91...32b8 — Outcome 96825180, $46,759
0xd9b5...9db1 — Outcome 96825180, $45,274
0x7fdc...1830 — Outcome 96825180, $44,273 (100% win rate)
0xb6fa...abcf — Outcome 96825180, $35,834

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Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

ResolvedPeru Presidential Election Winner$32,675 tracked3 signalsPoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsElectionsPeru

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)