Part of: 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
44 smart money signals detected, totaling $334,228.
Categories: Politics, World, Elections, South Korea, Global Elections, World Elections, rewards 100, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
New whale flips to Yes
A very new but already profitable high-volume wallet is making a fresh low-price Yes bet after heavy activity across the Seoul mayoral event.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already deployed $557k and is up about $104k.
- The bettor has been flagged 27 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $88k in notable activity.
- Entry at 3¢ is a cheap long-shot position with large upside if this wallet’s Seoul thesis is right.
$2,094 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
New whale backing NO
A 1-day-old repeat whale is buying No on a plausible political market amid a major volume spike and sharp price move against Chong Won-oh.
- A brand-new wallet has triggered 26 large-bet alerts, with $86k flagged across 8 positions already.
- This wallet previously put $148k into the same No side around 42¢, suggesting a repeated thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- Market volume is running 18.9x normal, and No has already moved from this 44¢ entry to about 52¢.
$2,643 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
New whale fading frontrunner
Very new repeat whale is net buying No into a sharp election-market move with major volume spikes, though the wallet has no resolved track record and made one opposing Yes trade.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already placed $86K in flagged bets and is taking a net No position here.
- The market saw a 20%+ drop in Yes over the past day alongside a 31x volume spike.
- The bettor bought most of their exposure on No, including a latest $2.6K add at 44¢.
$7,110 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
New wallet backs No momentum
A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets built a net No position during a major Seoul mayoral odds move, but the mixed Yes/No execution makes it more of a momentum watch than a clean copy signal.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already made 23 flagged large bets totaling about $80K.
- The market is seeing heavy action, with 24h volume near $1.18M and Chong Won-oh's Yes price down about 33 points in a day.
- The wallet bought both sides but ended with roughly twice as much No exposure as Yes exposure.
$4,467 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
87% win-rate political sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% historical win rate made a $10k Yes buy, alongside one-sided flow and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $91k lifetime on nearly $1.9M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 153 events, and added $10k to Yes here.
- Four wallets bought the same side as volume spiked nearly 49x, suggesting coordinated conviction.
$10,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
News-driven No momentum
A large market-wide volume spike and nearly 40-point move against Chong Won-oh make this a notable momentum trade, though the wallet itself is not a proven sharp bettor.
- A 161x volume spike hit this market while Chong Won-oh’s odds fell about 40 points in a day.
- The bettor is buying No at 63¢, directly following the sharp move against Chong.
- This looks more like a news-flow momentum trade than a proven-wallet signal.
$1,890 on No | Wallet win rate: 26%
New repeat bettor buying rebound
Very new repeat bettor with $75k in recent flagged positions is buying Yes on a liquid Seoul mayoral market amid sharp price movement.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 20 flagged bets totaling $75k.
- They bought Yes at 32¢ after a rapid 16.5-point move, suggesting conviction in a rebound.
- This is a political market with heavy recent volume, making informed positioning more plausible.
$1,434 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
78% winner buying No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is buying No after major Seoul mayor odds movement and has broader cross-market exposure on the event.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $192,715 lifetime.
- They have bet across 2 Seoul election markets with about $51,176 in related exposure.
- Buying No at 67¢ follows a sharp move against Yes, which is down about 47% over the past day.
$1,713 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp politics bettor on No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate re-entered No on a volatile Seoul mayoral market, with one fill already moving from 52¢ to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $192,715 lifetime.
- They bought $4.3k of No, including a 52¢ entry that has already moved to 66¢.
- The market has swung hard toward No, down 45 points for Yes in the past day.
$4,325 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
78% winner buying Yes
Profitable 78% win-rate wallet is buying Yes on a liquid Seoul mayoral market amid cross-market positioning and a fresh volume/price surge.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $190K lifetime.
- They have $53K positioned across related Seoul election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- The market saw a 29x volume spike and a rapid 16.5-point Yes move, adding momentum behind the entry.
$2,523 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 43735080, $1,068,599
- 0xc7f9...e37d — Outcome 19070202, $169,588 (86% win rate)
- 0xb1a5...815d — Outcome 19070202, $120,176
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 19070202, $90,892 (67% win rate)
- 0xeae7...1884 — Outcome 19070202, $33,315 (75% win rate)
- 0x6718...a38e — Outcome 19070202, $32,860 (97% win rate)
- 0xcfac...5b9e — Outcome 19070202, $29,073
- 0x3029...0805 — Outcome 19070202, $26,456
- 0x10e9...33f3 — Outcome 19070202, $23,739 (85% win rate)
- 0x005c...13fd — Outcome 19070202, $20,634
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