Part of: 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
44 smart money signals detected, totaling $334,228.
Categories: Politics, World, Elections, South Korea, Global Elections, World Elections, rewards 100, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
New whale flips to Yes
A very new but already profitable high-volume wallet is making a fresh low-price Yes bet after heavy activity across the Seoul mayoral event.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already deployed $557k and is up about $104k.
- The bettor has been flagged 27 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $88k in notable activity.
- Entry at 3¢ is a cheap long-shot position with large upside if this wallet’s Seoul thesis is right.
$2,094 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
New whale backing NO
A 1-day-old repeat whale is buying No on a plausible political market amid a major volume spike and sharp price move against Chong Won-oh.
- A brand-new wallet has triggered 26 large-bet alerts, with $86k flagged across 8 positions already.
- This wallet previously put $148k into the same No side around 42¢, suggesting a repeated thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- Market volume is running 18.9x normal, and No has already moved from this 44¢ entry to about 52¢.
$2,643 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
New whale fading frontrunner
Very new repeat whale is net buying No into a sharp election-market move with major volume spikes, though the wallet has no resolved track record and made one opposing Yes trade.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already placed $86K in flagged bets and is taking a net No position here.
- The market saw a 20%+ drop in Yes over the past day alongside a 31x volume spike.
- The bettor bought most of their exposure on No, including a latest $2.6K add at 44¢.
$7,110 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
New wallet backs No momentum
A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets built a net No position during a major Seoul mayoral odds move, but the mixed Yes/No execution makes it more of a momentum watch than a clean copy signal.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already made 23 flagged large bets totaling about $80K.
- The market is seeing heavy action, with 24h volume near $1.18M and Chong Won-oh's Yes price down about 33 points in a day.
- The wallet bought both sides but ended with roughly twice as much No exposure as Yes exposure.
$4,467 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
87% win-rate political sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% historical win rate made a $10k Yes buy, alongside one-sided flow and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $91k lifetime on nearly $1.9M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 153 events, and added $10k to Yes here.
- Four wallets bought the same side as volume spiked nearly 49x, suggesting coordinated conviction.
$10,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
News-driven No momentum
A large market-wide volume spike and nearly 40-point move against Chong Won-oh make this a notable momentum trade, though the wallet itself is not a proven sharp bettor.
- A 161x volume spike hit this market while Chong Won-oh’s odds fell about 40 points in a day.
- The bettor is buying No at 63¢, directly following the sharp move against Chong.
- This looks more like a news-flow momentum trade than a proven-wallet signal.
$1,890 on No | Wallet win rate: 26%
New repeat bettor buying rebound
Very new repeat bettor with $75k in recent flagged positions is buying Yes on a liquid Seoul mayoral market amid sharp price movement.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 20 flagged bets totaling $75k.
- They bought Yes at 32¢ after a rapid 16.5-point move, suggesting conviction in a rebound.
- This is a political market with heavy recent volume, making informed positioning more plausible.
$1,434 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
78% winner buying No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is buying No after major Seoul mayor odds movement and has broader cross-market exposure on the event.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $192,715 lifetime.
- They have bet across 2 Seoul election markets with about $51,176 in related exposure.
- Buying No at 67¢ follows a sharp move against Yes, which is down about 47% over the past day.
$1,713 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp politics bettor on No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate re-entered No on a volatile Seoul mayoral market, with one fill already moving from 52¢ to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $192,715 lifetime.
- They bought $4.3k of No, including a 52¢ entry that has already moved to 66¢.
- The market has swung hard toward No, down 45 points for Yes in the past day.
$4,325 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
78% winner buying Yes
Profitable 78% win-rate wallet is buying Yes on a liquid Seoul mayoral market amid cross-market positioning and a fresh volume/price surge.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $190K lifetime.
- They have $53K positioned across related Seoul election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- The market saw a 29x volume spike and a rapid 16.5-point Yes move, adding momentum behind the entry.
$2,523 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,068,517
- 0xc7f9...e37d — Yes, $169,588 (86% win rate)
- 0xb1a5...815d — Yes, $120,176
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Yes, $90,892 (71% win rate)
- 0xeae7...1884 — Yes, $33,315 (75% win rate)
- 0x6718...a38e — Yes, $32,860 (95% win rate)
- 0xcfac...5b9e — Yes, $29,073
- 0x3029...0805 — Yes, $26,456
- 0x10e9...33f3 — Yes, $23,739 (85% win rate)
- 0x005c...13fd — Yes, $20,634
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