Part of: Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,037.

Categories: Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran, Peace Deal, Politics, Iran

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 17¢ before the market moved to 27¢ on a thin, wide-spread diplomacy market.

  • This bettor is up $732K lifetime across 188 resolved bets.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.64M placed across 123 event-linked markets.
  • Bought Yes at 17¢ before it moved to 27¢, in a market with only $5.3K liquidity and a 14¢ spread.

$4,963 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 17¢ before the market moved to 27¢ on a thin, wide-spread diplomacy market.

  • This bettor is up $732K lifetime across 188 resolved bets.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.64M placed across 123 event-linked markets.
  • Bought Yes at 17¢ before it moved to 27¢, in a market with only $5.3K liquidity and a 14¢ spread.

$1,074 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x209a...3c5b Outcome 43468322, $2,273
  2. 0xc7d0...1f8a Outcome 43468322, $1,286
  3. 0xd426...334a Outcome 43468322, $846 (48% win rate)
  4. 0x3825...04e8 Outcome 43468322, $365
  5. 0x096a...269d Outcome 43468322, $351
  6. 0xacf3...8311 Outcome 43468322, $342
  7. 0xf051...f1d3 Outcome 43468322, $231
  8. 0x6e84...4c7e Outcome 43468322, $160
  9. 0x7076...586d Outcome 43468322, $121
  10. 0x1851...ae47 Outcome 43468322, $100

Related Theses

US-Iran deal announced soon

Covers 8 related markets

Iran deal after July

Covers 11 related markets

WTI peaks near $80 in July

Covers 7 related markets

WTI stays below $80

Covers 3 related markets

US-Iran meeting around June 20

Covers 11 related markets

Crude oil tops $175 by June

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Trump refuses Iran concessions

Covers 2 related markets

Iran ceasefire survives late May

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 7 related markets

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

ResolvedWho will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?$6,037 tracked2 signalsGeopoliticsU.S. x IranPeace DealPoliticsIran

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

63d ago

$4,963 on Yes at 17¢

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

64d ago

$1,074 on Yes at 17¢

Related Theses

US-Iran deal announced soon
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US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…
Iran deal after July
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US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
WTI peaks near $80 in July
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
WTI stays below $80
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
US-Iran meeting around June 20
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US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…
Crude oil tops $175 by June
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH)…Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH)…Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH)…
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Will Keiko Fujimori win the 20…Will Rafael López Aliaga win t…Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino …
Trump refuses Iran concessions
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Will Trump agree to withdraw t…Will Trump agree to Iranian tr…
Iran ceasefire survives late May
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Will the Iran ceasefire contin…Will the Iran ceasefire contin…Will the Iran ceasefire contin…
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…