Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?
12 signals across 6 markets · $29,405 tracked · resolves Jul 7, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks attendance outcomes for the planned US-Iran signing ceremony following the announced diplomatic agreement. The current child market focuses on whether Masoud Pezeshkian will attend, with PolySpotter tracking $2,000 in smart money activity and a recent repeat wallet buying Yes.
Markets (6)
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?3 signals · $11,119 tracked
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?3 signals · $6,432 tracked
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?2 signals · $6,037 tracked
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?2 signals · $2,782 tracked
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?1 signal · $2,000 tracked
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?1 signal · $1,034 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 82% win-rate event specialist
A highly profitable 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Yes on a thin political event market despite recent odds falling.
$1,560Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.0 - 82% win-rate event specialist
A highly profitable 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Yes on a thin political event market despite recent odds falling.
$1,223Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.0 - 82% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable 82% win-rate bettor bought Yes despite only a modest cross-market signal.
$5,804Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.0 - 79% winner buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% resolved-bet win rate is adding a $3.2k NO position on a politics market with plausible information edge.
$3,207Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.0 - 79% winner buying NO
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 79% resolved win rate is buying No in a diplomatic event market while also positioning across a related market.
$2,173Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.0 - New repeat wallet buying Yes
A 9-day-old repeat large bettor is buying Yes in a thin diplomatic market with strong upward price momentum.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5 - Profitable event specialist
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes across this diplomatic-signing event, though the individual trade size is modest.
$1,052Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 17¢ before the market moved to 27¢ on a thin, wide-spread diplomacy market.
$4,963Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 3.5 - Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 17¢ before the market moved to 27¢ on a thin, wide-spread diplomacy market.
$1,074Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 3.0 - 82% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable 82% win-rate bettor bought Yes despite only a modest cross-market signal.
$1,388Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$13,902 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 76% wins
- 0x74471a…a16d$7,089 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 52% wins
- 0x2b670a…b814$6,414 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x917542…6acf$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Masoud Pezeshkian attends the US-Iran signing ceremony?
The event’s prediction market prices update as traders buy and sell Yes or No shares on whether Masoud Pezeshkian attends by the resolution deadline. PolySpotter highlights the market odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how informed wallets are positioning.
What is the smart money doing on this US-Iran signing ceremony market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,000 in smart money across this event, with a recent signal showing a repeat wallet buying Yes on Pezeshkian attending.
When does the US-Iran signing ceremony attendance market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on whether the listed individual attends a qualifying US-Iran signing ceremony by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
What counts as attending the US-Iran signing ceremony?
The market requires attendance at an official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing or executing the agreement. If the listed person does not attend such a ceremony by the deadline, the market resolves No.