Part of: JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,736.

Categories: Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Politics, Geopolitics, Iran Ceasefire

Notable Trades

Perfect-record political bettor

Surface because this is a proven profitable wallet with a 13-0 resolved record taking a contrarian Yes position on a political market.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 13 resolved trades and is up $15.8K lifetime.
  • Selling No at 89¢ is the same as buying Yes around 11¢, against a market that has drifted down this week.
  • The bet was large for recent activity, equal to about two-thirds of reported 24h volume.

$1,736 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x199d...6e7b No, $4,076 (80% win rate)
  2. 0xc91b...93bd Yes, $3,824
  3. 0xd6dd...98ee Yes, $2,076
  4. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $1,368 (47% win rate)
  5. 0xbb1f...907d No, $1,050 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x3e6a...e86d Yes, $997
  7. 0x58cc...7bfb Yes, $972
  8. 0x645a...fd84 No, $559 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x45a2...3c01 Yes, $532
  10. 0xa8c6...44e8 No, $500 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

No lasting Iran deal

Covers 6 related markets

US-Iran meeting in early June

Covers 3 related markets

Hormuz blockade lifted in July

Covers 5 related markets

No Iran deal by June

Covers 6 related markets

Vance meets Iran in June

Covers 2 related markets

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

21dJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?$1,736 tracked1 signalIranVanceTrumpU.S. x IranPoliticsGeopoliticsIran Ceasefire
Yes
12¢
No
89¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
92¢
86¢
80¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

1h ago

$1,736 on Yes at 11¢

11¢12¢1¢

Related Theses