Part of: JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,736.
Categories: Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Politics, Geopolitics, Iran Ceasefire
Notable Trades
Perfect-record political bettor
Surface because this is a proven profitable wallet with a 13-0 resolved record taking a contrarian Yes position on a political market.
- This bettor has won 13 of 13 resolved trades and is up $15.8K lifetime.
- Selling No at 89¢ is the same as buying Yes around 11¢, against a market that has drifted down this week.
- The bet was large for recent activity, equal to about two-thirds of reported 24h volume.
$1,736 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x199d...6e7b — No, $4,076 (80% win rate)
- 0xc91b...93bd — Yes, $3,824
- 0xd6dd...98ee — Yes, $2,076
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $1,368 (47% win rate)
- 0xbb1f...907d — No, $1,050 (100% win rate)
- 0x3e6a...e86d — Yes, $997
- 0x58cc...7bfb — Yes, $972
- 0x645a...fd84 — No, $559 (63% win rate)
- 0x45a2...3c01 — Yes, $532
- 0xa8c6...44e8 — No, $500 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
No lasting Iran deal
Covers 6 related markets
US-Iran meeting in early June
Covers 3 related markets
Hormuz blockade lifted in July
Covers 5 related markets
No Iran deal by June
Covers 6 related markets
Vance meets Iran in June
Covers 2 related markets
