Part of: Peru Presidential Election Winner

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,575.

Categories: Politics, Global Elections, World Elections, Elections, Peru

Notable Trades

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

A proven 83% win-rate trader with nearly $250k profit is making a sizable cross-market election bet, adding a strong directional signal despite the market being fairly liquid overall.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $249k lifetime
  • They have traded 70 markets across 39 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought NO at 90¢ with $4.6k, a stake equal to 185% of this market’s 24-hour volume

$4,575 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,458,777
  2. 0xdc03...804c Yes, $189,022 (81% win rate)
  3. 0x784f...5df9 Yes, $183,805 (87% win rate)
  4. 0xf2f6...5817 Yes, $90,000 (75% win rate)
  5. 0xd3a6...fd55 Yes, $59,549 (40% win rate)
  6. 0xd49b...bdf9 Yes, $52,227
  7. 0x614d...1546 Yes, $50,000 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x86c1...d2b3 Yes, $47,587
  9. 0x0490...c81f Yes, $46,780 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xbefa...300d Yes, $41,791

Related Theses

Covers 7 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

ResolvedPeru Presidential Election Winner$4,575 tracked1 signalPoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsElectionsPeru
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Price History — “No
102¢
100¢
98¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

45d ago

$4,575 on No at 90¢

90¢100¢10¢

Related Theses