Part of: Peru Presidential Election Winner
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $219,333.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, World Elections, Elections, Peru, Peru Election, Main Election, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
78% winner buys favorite
A proven profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate and nearly $295k lifetime profit is making a high-conviction $17.7k BUY Yes at 90¢ alongside broader cross-market positioning.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $294k lifetime.
- They bought $17.7k of Yes at 90¢, showing strong conviction even at favorite pricing.
- The wallet has $54.9k positioned across related Peru election markets.
$17,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable election trader fading favorite
Profitable high-volume wallet is taking a contrarian No position while deploying $158k across related Peruvian election markets.
- This bettor is up about $1.0M lifetime across more than $24M traded.
- They have $158k positioned across 3 related election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Buying No at 8¢ fades a sharp move toward Yes after the market rose 14 points in a day.
$4,203 on No | Wallet win rate: 52%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader added $21k to Yes after a major momentum move in a liquid Peru election market.
- This bettor is up $950k lifetime across $61M traded.
- They have traded 152 markets across 105 events, suggesting a repeat cross-market strategy.
- Bought $21k of Yes at 87¢ after the market surged 56 points today.
$21,296 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
89% winner fading favorite
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is fading the 86¢ favorite after a sharp rally.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $207K lifetime.
- They have traded across 101 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Yes at 86¢ converts to buying No at 14¢ after Yes jumped 16 points in 24 hours.
$1,511 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Linked cluster buying momentum
High composite score driven by a recurring 3-wallet funded cluster buying into a major volume spike and upward momentum, with the wallet showing early profitable history.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder and have been flagged together in prior runs.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 41x above normal and the price up 7 points in 24 hours.
- This wallet is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $13.9k, though the track record is still early.
$5,220 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
75% winner buying frontrunner
Surface because a profitable 75% winner is buying into a major election market during a large volume surge and strong upward momentum.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $6.9K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 89¢ as the market jumped 10.5 points in a day.
- Volume is 72x above normal, suggesting fresh attention behind the move.
$1,261 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 36%
Profitable cross-market specialist
Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding Yes exposure at 89¢ amid a 33x volume spike and strong price momentum in a major election market.
- This bettor has won 68% of 683 resolved trades and is up about $293k lifetime.
- They have $62.9k positioned across 3 markets in this election event, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Market volume is 33x above normal and Yes is up 9 points today, matching the direction of the trade.
$3,762 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
97% winner buying favorite
Surface due to the wallet’s 97% resolved win record and positive P&L, despite the modest $2k size in a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved bets and is up $911 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 90¢ after the market jumped 32.5 percentage points in the last day.
- The trade follows strong momentum in a high-volume election market.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
80% win-rate election trader
A proven 80% win-rate wallet with $419k profit is adding a Yes bet as part of a much larger cross-market Peru election position.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $419k lifetime.
- They have traded 99 markets across 56 events, with $2.5M in total activity.
- This is part of a broader 7-market Peru election position totaling $288k.
$3,584 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% winner backs frontrunner
Sharp 80% winning cross-market trader is buying Yes during a major volume and price surge, with substantial related positioning across the Peru election event.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $423,500 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $294,324 positioned across 7 related markets in this event.
- The market is moving with them: volume is 25.5x normal and Yes is up 28.5 points in the past day.
$2,310 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 92827417, $3,951,697
- 0x2d1e...b4a2 — Outcome 92827417, $45,879 (0% win rate)
- 0xc4b2...9a9b — Outcome 92827417, $26,476 (85% win rate)
- 0xf8ad...01b4 — Outcome 92827417, $15,932
- 0xdb97...3f3a — Outcome 92827417, $13,666
- 0x1d51...4edc — Outcome 92827417, $12,892
- 0xf170...fcc5 — Outcome 92827417, $12,799
- 0x5730...5cff — Outcome 92827417, $12,638
- 0x3a4b...1475 — Outcome 92827417, $11,273
- 0xafba...e61b — Outcome 92827417, $11,261 (70% win rate)
Related Theses
Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency
Covers 2 related markets
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
Peru elects right-wing president
Covers 3 related markets
