Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $10,470.
Notable Trades
43-0 political sharp
A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 43-for-43 resolved record put $10.5k on Rubio Yes at 20¢, extending a large cross-market political thesis despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 43 of 43 resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime
- They have bet across 34 related markets and 25 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- Buying Rubio at 20¢ means they see a long-shot candidate as materially underpriced
$10,470 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,837,387
- 0x8372...5223 — Yes, $367,408 (100% win rate)
- 0x1e1f...c855 — Yes, $307,450 (56% win rate)
- 0x008b...b476 — Yes, $69,197
- 0xc278...1dd4 — Yes, $67,732
- 0x9703...69c2 — Yes, $64,585
- 0x30e4...5102 — Yes, $52,541
- 0x0c0e...434e — Yes, $49,330 (71% win rate)
- 0xdfc1...818d — Yes, $30,829
- 0x5a2a...0179 — Yes, $29,020
