Event

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

14 signals across 2 markets · $83,565 tracked

Markets (2)

  1. Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?9 signals · $65,618 tracked
  2. Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?5 signals · $17,947 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 4-wallet NO cluster

    Four wallets bought nearly $13k of Rubio 'No' within minutes, including a repeat new wallet signal and a strong one-sided cluster, showing coordinated conviction even if the market itself is already heavily priced that way.

    $12,963Score: 10.6
  2. 4-wallet anti-Rubio cluster

    Four wallets piled into Rubio 'No' within minutes, including a very new wallet, creating a one-sided $12.8k cluster alongside a 60x volume spike in a major political market.

    $12,823Score: 10.3
  3. 4-wallet Rubio YES cluster

    Four wallets piled into Rubio Yes within minutes during a 50x volume spike, including several very new accounts making repeat large bets, which makes this coordinated flow worth watching despite limited track records.

    $10,901Score: 10.2
  4. 4-wallet No cluster

    Four wallets piled into No within seconds, including one very new wallet and one wallet with a strong 24-of-26 hit rate, creating a coordinated directional signal on a major politics market.

    $4,827Score: 8.0
  5. New whale repeating big bets

    A 2-day-old wallet has already made nearly $19k of repeated large political bets and is now buying J.D. Vance Yes at 42¢, which looks like fresh conviction rather than routine flow.

    $3,304Score: 6.5
  6. New whale buying Rubio

    A brand-new wallet has already made multiple large political bets and just put $5.8k into Rubio Yes, which is notable despite no proven track record yet.

    $5,775Score: 6.0
  7. 43-0 political sharp

    A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 43-for-43 resolved record put $10.5k on Rubio Yes at 20¢, extending a large cross-market political thesis despite this being a liquid market.

    $10,470Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 6.0
  8. Proven political sharp

    A highly profitable serial political trader with a 77% win rate and nearly $1.9M in profits is taking a fresh cross-market position on Vance by effectively buying Yes at 39¢.

    $1,063Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 6.0
  9. Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

    $2,744Score: 5.5
  10. 4-wallet NO cluster

    A repeat new wallet joined a 4-wallet coordinated wave buying No on Rubio, adding fresh size into a one-sided cluster during an unusually large volume spike.

    $3,126Score: 5.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x8372085223$16,479 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 74% wins
  2. 0x30604516cb$9,079 · 2 markets · 2 alerts
  3. 0xa5203caedd$3,360 · 1 market · 1 alert
  4. 0x762dbad9c5$3,126 · 1 market · 1 alert
  5. 0xbefcc9cf71$3,122 · 1 market · 1 alert
  6. 0x1b450913ab$3,080 · 1 market · 1 alert
  7. 0x85d2ac9fc1$2,744 · 1 market · 1 alert
  8. 0x4337238882$1,063 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins

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