Part of: Peru Presidential Election Winner
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $207,013.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, World Elections, Elections, Peru, Peru Election, Main Election, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market political bettor
A profitable political bettor is making a cross-market Peru election play, buying a beaten-down longshot at 6¢ after over $111k in related event positioning.
- This bettor is up $142k lifetime and has won 5 of 6 resolved bets.
- They have $111k in related Peru election positioning across 2 markets.
- Entry at 6¢ comes after a sharp price drop, giving longshot upside if their thesis is right.
$1,996 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp bettor buying rebound
Sharp positive-P&L wallet bought Sánchez at 14¢ despite only a modest single win-rate signal.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $22k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 14¢ after a steep 51% one-day drop, suggesting they see the selloff as overdone.
- Entry at 14¢ implies a high-upside political bet from a proven wallet.
$1,476 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp trader flips to No
Sharp profitable wallet with an 86% resolved win rate is buying No after large cross-market Peruvian election positioning and a sharp same-day price drop.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $103k lifetime.
- They have placed $184k across 3 markets in this election event, suggesting a broader Peru thesis.
- They bought No at 86¢ after the candidate's Yes price fell sharply today.
$2,660 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp cross-market election bettor
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and six-figure profit is taking a cross-market Peru election position, with recent No buys aligning with the market’s sharp move against Yes.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $103k lifetime.
- They are active across 3 markets in the same Peruvian election event with $28k deployed.
- Recent buys favored No around 85–86¢ as Yes fell 33% over the past day.
$24,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp cross-market election bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with an 86% resolved-bet record is making large cross-market Peru election trades amid a major volume spike, though the opposing same-market legs make the direction less clean.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $103K lifetime.
- They have $25.7K spread across 3 related Peru election markets, suggesting a broader election thesis.
- Market volume spiked 15.5x while the price moved sharply, so this trade is part of a major repricing.
$21,779 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable funded cluster
A repeatedly flagged, profitable newer wallet from a 3-wallet funded cluster bought No on a high-volume Peruvian election market with recent price momentum in the same direction.
- This newer bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades and up $13.9K so far.
- Three wallets sharing the same funder are positioned on this market, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- The trade backs the recent move: Sánchez Palomino’s Yes odds are down about 10 points in 24 hours.
$2,536 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor is putting $15k on No, aligned with recent negative momentum for Sánchez Palomino.
- This bettor is up $887k across 1,339 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $6.8M bet across 105 events.
- The $15k No buy follows a 10.5-point weekly drop in Sánchez Palomino’s odds.
$15,015 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial election bettor
Experienced cross-market trader with a 68% long-run win rate is building a broader anti-Sánchez Palomino position across the Peruvian election markets.
- This bettor has won 68% of 683 resolved bets and is up about $293k lifetime.
- They are active across 3 markets in this same election event, with about $38.9k positioned overall.
- Buying No at 87¢ follows a sharp 25-point drop in the Yes price over the past day.
$2,624 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
76% winner cross-market
Surfacing because a profitable 76% lifetime winner is taking a cross-market No position, despite the alert being only moderate strength.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $16K lifetime.
- They have put $7.1K across two related election markets, including $3.0K on No here.
- The market has moved sharply against Sánchez in the last day, supporting the No direction.
$2,982 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial election trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader with 683 resolved bets is adding a high-confidence No position as part of a larger Peru election thesis.
- This bettor is up $292,726 lifetime across 683 resolved bets.
- They have traded 153 markets across 88 events, showing a repeated cross-market strategy.
- They have put $30,278 across 3 markets in this same election, including this No buy at 90¢.
$1,845 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 46581835, $3,951,697
- 0x35b3...3dc7 — Outcome 40073700, $273,146 (75% win rate)
- 0x70dd...dcc3 — Outcome 40073700, $110,857
- 0xafba...e61b — Outcome 40073700, $102,514 (70% win rate)
- 0x8718...d6dd — Outcome 40073700, $99,377
- 0x469c...35ec — Outcome 40073700, $86,449
- 0x9d89...a5f4 — Outcome 40073700, $76,901
- 0x9496...f0e2 — Outcome 40073700, $57,445
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Outcome 40073700, $50,046 (41% win rate)
- 0x782d...df02 — Outcome 40073700, $47,310 (60% win rate)
Related Theses
Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency
Covers 2 related markets
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
Peru elects right-wing president
Covers 3 related markets
Neither Chong nor Oh wins
Covers 2 related markets
